Having increased by 2.9% in 2015, GDP growth in Slovenia will slacken to about 2% in both 2016 and 2017 on account of the drop in volume of EU-funded investments at the outset of the new financial framework. More solid growth is forecast for 2018. Exports and the gradual recovery of household consumption will remain the main drivers of growth. Government consumption is expected to remain subdued in the wake of budget consolidation measures.
|Main Economic Indicators||2013||2014||2015||2016||2017||2018|
|Population, 1000 persons.||2060||2062||2063||.||.||.|
|GDP, real change in %||-1.1||3.0||2.9||2.0||2.3||2.8|
|GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)||21500||22600||23900||.||.||.|
|Gross industrial production, real change in %||-0.9||2.2||5.6||.||.||.|
|Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average||10.1||9.7||9.0||8.5||8.0||7.5|
|Average gross monthly wages, EUR||1523||1540||1556||.||.||.|
|Consumer prices, % p.a.||1.9||0.4||-0.8||0.5||1.0||1.0|
|Fiscal balance in % of GDP||-15.0||-5.1||-2.9||.||.||.|
|Public debt in % of GDP||70.8||80.8||83.5||.||.||.|
|Current account in % of GDP||5.6||7.0||7.3||5.3||4.7||4.0|
|FDI inflow, EUR mn||71||746||944||.||.||.|
|Gross external debt in % of GDP||116.0||124.2||116.1||.||.||.|
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
SLOVENIA: Almost back to normal
in: Growth Stabilises: Investment a Major Driver, Except in Countries Plagued by Recession
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2016, March 2016 , pp. 125-128 Details and Buy
Monthly Report No. 1/2016 - Special Issue: Reality Check – wiiw Economists Reflect on 25 Years of Transition
Vladimir Gligorov, Peter Havlik, Gabor Hunya, Michael Landesmann, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 1, January 2016
42 pages including 3 Tables and 22 Figures