Ukraine

The economy continues to recover, driven by marked growth in both investments and, to a lesser extent, private consumption. Rapid disinflation on the back of exchange rate stabilisation and an easing of fiscal policy have also proven growth-supportive. Still, ongoing cooperation with the IMF remains crucially important for maintaining short-term stability. Barring adverse shocks, GDP is expected to pick up by 0.8% this year, followed by gradual acceleration to around 2% p.a. in 2017 2018.

map Ukraine
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201420152016201720182019
Population, 1000 persons.430014284542673...
GDP, real change in %-6.6-9.82.01.92.4.
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)640059006100...
Gross industrial production, real change in %-10.1-13.02.4...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average9.39.19.49.29.0.
Average gross monthly wages, EUR221173183...
Consumer prices, % p.a.12.148.713.98.96.0.
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-4.5-1.6-2.3...
Public debt in % of GDP69.479.181.8...
Current account in % of GDP-3.4-0.2-3.6-1.7-2.2.
FDI inflow, EUR mn64127503114...
Gross external debt in % of GDP102.6132.4124.7...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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Monthly Report No. 11/2016

Vasily Astrov, Mahdi Ghodsi, Vladimir Gligorov, Richard Grieveson, Julia Grübler, Sebastian Leitner and Robert Stehrer
wiiw Monthly Report No. 11,
51 pages including 3 Table and 33 Figures

Details

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UKRAINE: Still addicted to IMF injections

Vasily Astrov
in: Labour Shortages Driving Economic Growth?
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2016, , pp. 121-124
Details and Buy


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