Kazakhstan

In 2016, GDP growth will slow down still further to 1% as global oil prices are expected to be lower than the 2015 average. Growth is projected to pick up speed in 2017-2018, primarily thanks to a rise in investment. Poor performance in the oil sector has put a strain on public finance and the government has had to adopt various fiscal consolidation measures. Tight monetary policy and dollarisation of deposits has squeezed liquidity in the banking sector, thus giving rise to a credit crunch.

map Kazakhstan
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201320142015201620172018
Population, 1000 persons.170351728917544...
GDP, real change in %6.04.21.20.42.03.0
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)182001900019500...
Gross industrial production, real change in %2.50.3-1.6...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average5.25.05.05.25.05.0
Average gross monthly wages, EUR540508513...
Consumer prices, % p.a.5.86.76.613.07.06.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-2.0-2.7-2.2...
Public debt in % of GDP12.614.622.7...
Current account in % of GDP0.52.9-3.2-3.1-1.6-1.5
FDI inflow, EUR mn753653365967...
Gross external debt in % of GDP61.377.684.3...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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Monthly Report No. 7-8/2016

Vasily Astrov, Serkan Çiçek, Rumen Dobrinsky, Vladimir Gligorov, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Peter Havlik, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya, Simona Jokubauskaite, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8,
25 pages including 1 Table and 1 Figure

Details

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KAZAKHSTAN: Switching to the crisis mode

Olga Pindyuk
in: Growth Stabilises: Investment a Major Driver, Except in Countries Plagued by Recession
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2016, , pp. 83-86
Details and Buy


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