Poland

The current moderate and broadly based growth will continue over the period 2016 2018 – with GDP averaging 3.4%. There is, however, every reason to expect less dynamic growth in terms of investment. 2017 will prove critical, unless the increase in social spending is offset by higher tax revenue.

map Poland
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201320142015201620172018
Population, 1000 persons.385143848738525...
GDP, real change in %1.33.33.63.43.23.4
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)179001860020000...
Gross industrial production, real change in %2.33.44.9...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average10.39.07.57.06.56.5
Average gross monthly wages, EUR872903927...
Consumer prices, % p.a.0.80.1-0.71.21.82.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-4.0-3.3-2.9...
Public debt in % of GDP55.950.451.7...
Current account in % of GDP-1.3-2.0-0.2-1.5-2.0-3.5
FDI inflow, EUR mn658128265581...
Gross external debt in % of GDP70.771.070.3...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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POLAND: Keeping generous promises will not be easy

Leon Podkaminer
in: Growth Stabilises: Investment a Major Driver, Except in Countries Plagued by Recession
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2016, , pp. 104-108
Details and Buy

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Monthly Report No. 1/2016 - Special Issue: Reality Check – wiiw Economists Reflect on 25 Years of Transition

Vladimir Gligorov, Peter Havlik, Gabor Hunya, Michael Landesmann, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 1,
42 pages including 3 Tables and 22 Figures

Details


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