Poland

The coming parliamentary elections may return to power former PM J. Kaczyński. This will not disturb moderate growth continuing in 2016. But the monetary policy will change next year, upon the expiry of the mandate of the present Chair of the National Bank. Whether the eventual innovations in the fiscal, social and systemic policies will be radical remains to be seen. Hence their true impact on performance in 2017 (and beyond) is rather hard to predict at present.

map Poland
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201220132014201520162017
Population, 1000 persons.385363851438487...
GDP, real change in %1.81.73.43.53.33.2
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)173001780018600...
Gross industrial production, real change in %1.32.33.4...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average10.110.39.08.58.07.8
Average gross monthly wages, EUR844872906...
Consumer prices, % p.a.3.70.80.1-0.61.21.8
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-3.7-4.0-3.2...
Public debt in % of GDP54.455.750.1...
Current account in % of GDP-3.4-1.3-1.3-1.8-2.2-2.8
FDI inflow, EUR mn5636243410910...
Gross external debt in % of GDP72.070.270.1...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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Monthly Report No. 7-8/2015

Vasily Astrov, Serkan Çiçek, Rumen Dobrinsky, Vladimir Gligorov, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Peter Havlik, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July-August 2015
25 pages including 1 Table and 2 Figures

Details

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POLAND: Fast recovery of investment

Leon Podkaminer
in: A Time of Moderate Expectations
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2015, March 2015 , pp. 73-74
Details and Buy


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