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Josef Pöschl
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Josef Pöschl Economist e-mail: poeschl@wiiw.ac.at Phone: (+43-1) 533 66 10-37 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Turkey; macroeconomic analysis |
External Publications
Articles in refereed journals
- 'An assessment of progress in transition, economic performance, and market attractiveness of CEFTA countries' (with Jan Nowak), Journal of East-West Business, Vol. 4, No. 4, 1999, pp. 27-48
- 'El Hundimiento económico y la transformación del sistema soviético', Investigación Económica, No. 225, 1998, pp. 155-181
Books (Monographs and editorship)
- Chances and barriers for the agriculture in Central and East European countries in the context of EU enlargement (in Czech) (with Zdenek Lukas), Czech Ministry of Agriculture, Prague, 2004
- Angepasste Technologie für die afrikanische Landwirtschaft?, Brandes und Apsel, Frankfurt, 1992
- Die Preisbildung in der industrialisierten Marktwirtschaft, Hamburg, 1986
Articles in books
- 'Policy recommendations' (with Doris Hanzl-Weiss), Healthy and Safe Food for the Future, Chapter 4, UNIDO, Vienna, 2009, pp. 67-77
- 'Zur wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung - Wirtschaftsaufschwung in Bosnien und Herzegowina unter schwierigen Rahmenbedingungen', in: Predrag Jurekovic and Erich Reiter (eds), Bosnien und Herzegowina - Europas Balkanpolitik auf dem Pruefstand, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, Baden-Baden, 2005
- 'Re-starting the engines of growth in transition', From Transition to Development: Globalisation and Political Economy of Development in Transition Countries, University of Sarajevo, 2004, pp. 133-152
- 'Trade-Offs and Ways Out', in: Christophe Solioz and Tobias K. Vogel (eds), Dayton and Beyond: Perspectives on the Future of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Nomos, Baden-Baden, 2004, pp. 120-136
- 'Die Balkanregion aus wirtschaftlicher Sicht' (with Hermine Vidovic), Katalogbeitrag für graz2003
- 'Implications of the introduction of euro', in: Günter Heiduk and Mario Holzner (eds), On some currency regime considerations for the Visegrad Countries, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, 2003
- 'Economic progress and commercial banking in the Balkans', in: F. Franicevic and H. Kimura (eds), Globalization, Democratization and Development - European and Japanese views of change in South East Europe, Massmedia, Zagreb, 2003
- 'A decade of transition in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends in foreign trade and foreign direct investment' (with Shaukat Ali and Jan Nowak), in: Marin Alexandrov Marinov and Svetla Trifonova Marinova (eds), Foreign direct investment in Central and Eastern Europe, Transition and Development, Ashgate, Hampshire, UK, and Burlington, USA, 2003, pp. 11-37
- 'Wird der EU-Beitritt den Tschechen einen Preisschock versetzen?', in: Tobias Schauf and Axel Sell (eds), Bilanz und Perspektiven der Transformation in Osteuropa, LIT Verlag, Münster, 2003, pp. 129-134
- 'FDI in the balance-of-payments framework', in: Gabor Hunya (ed), Integration through foreign direct investment - making Central and Eastern European industries competitive, Chapter 11, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA, 2000
- 'Are CEECs stuck in a quality trap?', in: György Csáky, G. Foti and David Mayes (eds), Foreign Direct Investment and Transition, Trends in World Economy No. 78, Institute of World Economics, Budapest, 1996
- 'Balance-of-Payments Constrained Growth in Central and Eastern Europe' (with Michael Landesmann), in: Mark Knell (ed), Economics of Transition, Structural Adjustments and Growth Prospects in Eastern Europe, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK and Brookfield, Vermont, US, 1996
- 'Michal Kalecki: A Comprehensive Challenge to Economic Orthodoxy' (with Gareth Locksley), Twelve Contemporary Economists, Macmillan, 1982
Articles in non-refereed journals
- 'MOEL im Sog der Krise' (with Vasily Astrov), WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 82, No. 5, 2009, pp. 347-360
- 'Die Landwirtschaft der NMS (10) in 2009' (with Zdenek Lukas), Osteuropa-Wirtschaft , 4/2009, No. 54, November 2009
- 'World Economic Crisis: The channels through which individual countries can get infected', CESS Economic Papers, Spring 2009, pp. 17-124
- 'Landwirtschaft des südöstlichen Donauraums und der Türkei' (with Zdenek Lukas), Osteuropa-Wirtschaft, Vol. 52, No. 3, 2007
- 'Die Landwirtschaft der Neuen Mitgliedsstaaten im Integrationsprozess' (with Zdenek Lukas), Osteuropa-Wirtschaft, Vol. 51, No. 3-4, 2006
- 'Turkey's stunning economic results - is there any vulnerability left?', Finance New Europe, 2005
- 'Die Türkei steuert 2005 ein 6-Prozent-Wachstum an', Außenwirtschaft die Zeitschrift für Export und Import Branchen und Märkte, No. 7, 2005
- 'Die Landwirtschaft der neuen Mitgliedsstaaten ein Jahr danach' (with Zdenek Lukas), Osteuropa-Wirtschaft, Vol. 50, No. 2, 2005
- 'Türkische Wirtschaft: Auftstieg mit Achillesverse' (with Hermine Vidovic and Julia Wörz), Europäische Rundschau, No. 2/2005, 2005
- 'Die Landwirtschaft der MOEL im Zeichen des EU-Beitritts' (with Zdenek Lukas), Osteuropa-Wirtschaft, Vol. 49, No. 3, 2004, pp. 211-236
- 'Central and East European Insurance market in a macroeconomic framework (in Czech)', Pojistné Rozpravy - pojistne teoretický bulletin, No. 14/2004, 2004, pp. 100-110
- 'Der mittel- und osteuropäische Versicherungsmarkt und sein makroökonomisches Umfeld', Versicherungsrundschau, No. 12/2003, 2003
- 'Mittel- und Osteuropas Landwirtschaft vor dem EU-Beitritt' (with Zdenek Lukas), Osteuropa-Wirtschaft, Vol. 48, No. 4/2003, 2003
- 'Internationale Konjunkturflaute stellt Wirtschaft der MOEL auf die Probe', WIFO Monatsberichte, No. 5/2003, 2003
- 'Die EU-Osterweiterung schafft eine win-win-Situation', Außenwirtschaft - die Zeitschrift für Export und Import, Branchen und Märkte, No. 2/2003, 2003
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina after five years of reconstruction', OITS - Osservatorio Internazionale Transizione e Sviluppo, No. 1/2001, 2001, pp. 5-48
- 'Wien und die Großstädte Ost-Mitteleuropas - Ein Vergleich anhand ausgewählter Sozial- und Wirtschaftsindikatoren' (with Leon Podkaminer), Statistische Mitteilungen der Stadt Wien, No. 3/2000, 2000
- 'Die Landwirtschaft nach der Transformation in Rumänien' (with Zdenek Lukas), Monatsberichte über die österreichische Landwirtschaft, No.11, 2000
- 'Konkurrenzfähigkeit der CEFTA-Landwirtschaft und Auswirkungen auf Österreich' (with Zdenek Lukas), Förderungsdienst, No. 2, Ministry of Agriculture, Vienna, 2000
- 'Neue Epoche im Bankensektor eingeleitet', Ost-West-Contact, No. 3/1998, 1998, pp. 30-33
- 'Die Zahlungsbilanz als Begrenzungsfaktor des Wirtschaftswachstums in Ost-Mittel-Europa' (with Michael Landesmann), Europa 1996, Auswirkungen einer EU-Osterweiterung, Schriftenreihe Europa des Bundeskanzleramtes, Österreichische Staatsdruckerei, Wien, 1995, pp. 299-357
Shorter papers and comments
- 'Bleibt Osteuropa der Teschek?', Sparkassenzeitung No. 6, June 2010
- 'Jasna zprava o vstupu do EU: Cesko to zvladne', Lobby, No. 10/2003, 2003
- 'Contribution to Central European countries' employment and labour market review', European Commission, July 1999
Other working papers and discussion series
- 'How will the Czech, Hungarian, Polish and Slovak agriculture perform after EU accession? (in Czech)' (with Zdenek Lukas), Fontes Rerum, Sborník textu, No. 9/2004, 2004, pp. 55-83
- 'A decade of transition in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends in foreign trade and foreign direct investment' (with Shaukat Ali and Jan Nowak), in: K. Fatemi and E. Kaynak (eds), Challenges and opportunities for international business in the shifting global economic environment, IMDA, Tenth World Business Congress, Zagreb, 4 - 8 July 2001
- 'Transformation of Former Yugoslavia: lessons and prospects', Transition, European Integration, and Institutional Change, Proceedings of the Fourth Trilateral Conference of Charles University Prague, Free University Berlin and University of Pittsburgh, 30 September - 2 October 1999
- 'An assessment of progress in transition, economic performance, and market attractiveness of CEFTA countries' (with Jan Nowak), Sixth Annual World Business Congress, IMDA, Chonju City, Korea, 23-27 July 1997
- 'Globalisation and the Czech Republic', A workshop at Harvard Business School, Institute for East West Studies, February 1997
- 'Central and Eastern Europe: how much integration?', Proceedings of the Annual Congress of the French Association of Economists, Nantes, June 1995
wiiw Publications
wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: An economy under attack', Fasting or Feasting? Europe - Old and New - at the Crossroads, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 10, Vienna, July 2012, pp. 109-110
- 'Turkey: Growth and inflation – mutual slowdown', Fasting or Feasting? Europe - Old and New - at the Crossroads, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 10, Vienna, July 2012, pp. 103-105
- 'Turkey: Slowdown? Or even recession?', New Divide(s) in Europe?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 9, Vienna, March 2012, pp. 96-100
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: Political breakthrough in times of economic stagnation', New Divide(s) in Europe?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 9, Vienna, March 2012, pp. 104-106
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: Some chance of getting things moving', Recovery: Limp and Battered, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 8, Vienna, July 2011, pp. 104-106
- 'Turkey: A sound or overheated and relapse-threatened economy?', Recovery: Limp and Battered, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 8, Vienna, July 2011, pp. 96-100
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: The choice between take-off and slow growth ', in: Peter Havlik (ed), Recovery - in Low Gear across Tough Terrain, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 7, Vienna, March 2011, pp. 91-93
- 'Turkey: Calming-down of a growth bonanza ', in: Peter Havlik (ed), Recovery - in Low Gear across Tough Terrain, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 7, Vienna, March 2011, pp. 85-87
- 'Turkey: Recovering and reconnecting', in: Vasily Astrov and Mario Holzner (eds), Will Exports Prevail over Austerity?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 6, Vienna, July 2010, pp. 106-109
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: Downers and uppers in moderation', in: Vasily Astrov and Mario Holzner (eds), Will Exports Prevail over Austerity?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 6, Vienna, July 2010, pp. 113-116
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: Is the worst still to come?', in: Josef Pöschl and Sandor Richter (eds), Crisis Is Over, but Problems Loom Ahead, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 5, Vienna, February 2010
- 'Turkey: The return of confidence', in: Josef Pöschl and Sandor Richter (eds), Crisis Is Over, but Problems Loom Ahead, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 5, Vienna, February 2010
- 'Turkey: a show of confidence - or a struggle for survival?', in: Sandor Richter (ed), Where Have All the Shooting Stars Gone?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 4, Vienna, July 2009, pp. 108-111
- 'Future EU member states: concerns shifting from external to fiscal deficits' (with Vladimir Gligorov), in: Sandor Richter (ed), Where Have All the Shooting Stars Gone?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 4, Vienna, July 2009, pp. 69-87
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: relative stability', in: Sandor Richter (ed), Where Have All the Shooting Stars Gone?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 4, Vienna, July 2009, pp. 91-94
- 'Overview Southeast Europe: shifting from the expansion to the contraction mode', Differentiated Impact of the Global Crisis, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 3, Vienna, February 2009, pp. 57-70
- 'Turkey: a robust, but recessive economy ', Differentiated Impact of the Global Crisis, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 3, Vienna, February 2009, pp. 89-93
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: landing in the fog', Differentiated Impact of the Global Crisis, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 3, Vienna, February 2009, pp. 74-77
- 'Turkey: Turkey’s economy testing its mettle', The Big Boom Is Over, but Growth Remains Strong and Inflation Calms Down, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 2, Vienna, July 2008, pp. 110-113
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: at long last an EU associate', The Big Boom Is Over, but Growth Remains Strong and Inflation Calms Down, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 2, Vienna, July 2008, pp. 94-98
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: the need to sign on the dotted line', Weathering the Global Storm, yet Rising Costs and Labour Shortages May Dampen Domestic Growth, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 1, Vienna, February 2008, pp. 69-71
- 'Turkey: Turkey’s economy dipping its toe in troubled waters', Weathering the Global Storm, yet Rising Costs and Labour Shortages May Dampen Domestic Growth, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 1, Vienna, February 2008, pp. 82-86
wiiw Monthly Reports
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: slow motion mode perpetuating', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 11/2011, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2011, pp. 4-6
- 'Turkey: delay in soft landing', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 11/2011, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2011, pp. 26-29
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: economic recovery and new political constellation', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 11/2010, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, October 2010, pp. 3-5
- 'Turkey: swift return to pre-crisis levels', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 11/2010, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, October 2010, pp. 21-23
- 'A few reflections on fiscal and monetary policy in the euro area', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 7/2010, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7, Vienna, July 2010, pp. 1-3
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: moderately depressed economy in a climate of political uptightness', Monthly Report No. 12/2009, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 12, Vienna, December 2009, pp. 4-6
- 'Turkey: waiting for new take-off after hard but safe landing', Monthly Report No. 11/2009, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2009, pp. 12-14
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: suffering from unfavourable constellations', Monthly Report No. 12/2008, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 12, Vienna, December 2008, pp. 4-7
- 'Turkey's nerves of steel', Monthly Report No. 11/2008, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2008, pp. 12-14
- 'Current situation of the global economy: challenges and potential consequences for Central, East and Southeast Europe' (with Peter Havlik), Monthly Report No. 2/2008, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 2, Vienna, February 2008, pp. 2-5
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: economy glory, political worry', Monthly Report No. 12/2007, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 12, Vienna, December 2007, pp. 4-5
- 'Turkey: growth sustainability has passed the acid test', Monthly Report No. 12/2007, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 12, Vienna, December 2007, pp. 14-15
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: from Dayton Agreement to data disagreement', Monthly Report No. 12/2005, wiiw Monthly Report, Vienna, pp. 6-8
- 'The Turkish economy's soft landing: a new experience', Monthly Report No. 11/2005, wiiw Monthly Report, Vienna, pp. 16-19
- 'Czech economy basking in glory', Monthly Report No. 10/2005, wiiw Monthly Report, Vienna, pp. 1-3
- 'Turkey's economy: situation report and outlook' (with Hermine Vidovic and Julia Wörz), Monthly Report No. 3/2005, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 3, Vienna, March 2005, pp. 1-9
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: shrinking donations, more foreign investment', Monthly Report No. 12/2004, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 12, Vienna, December 2004, pp. 6-8
- 'Czech Republic: economy in full swing at last', Monthly Report No. 10/2004, wiiw Monthly Report, Vienna, pp. 1-4
- 'New EU member countries joining the euro zone: the criteria of demonstrable maturity', Monthly Report 3/2004, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 3, Vienna, March 2004, pp. 1-5
- 'Czech Republic: slow growth, a sign of strength?', Monthly Report 10/2003, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 10, Vienna, October 2003, pp. 1-3
- 'Czech Republic: after the flood', Monthly Report 10/2002, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 10, Vienna, October 2002, pp. 8-9
wiiw Research Reports
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina in value-added tax fever', Strong Growth, Driven by Exports in the NMS and by Consumption in the Future EU Members, wiiw Research Report, No. 325, Vienna, February 2006, pp. 65-68
- 'Turkey: an economic hot spot', Back from the Peak, Growth in Transition Countries Returns to Standard Rate of Catching-up, wiiw Research Report, No. 320, Vienna, July 2005, pp.82-85
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: transfers and loans bolster economic advancement', Back from the Peak, Growth in Transition Countries Returns to Standard Rate of Catching-up, wiiw Research Report, No. 320, Vienna, July 2005, pp. 77-80
- 'Czech Republic joins the trade-surplus country club', Back from the Peak, Growth in Transition Countries Returns to Standard Rate of Catching-up, wiiw Research Report, No. 320, Vienna, July 2005, pp. 27-29
- 'Turkey: soft landing appreciated', Accelerating GDP Growth, Improved Prospects for European Integration, wiiw Research Report, No. 314, Vienna, March 2005, pp. 94-97
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: politics still hamper economic development', Accelerating GDP Growth, Improved Prospects for European Integration, wiiw Research Report, No. 314, Vienna, March 2005, pp. 88-91
- 'Czech Republic: revised data present a picture of sound development', Accelerating GDP Growth, Improved Prospects for European Integration, wiiw Research Report, No. 314, Vienna, March 2005, pp. 30-33
- 'Czech Republic: increasing competitiveness, higher GDP growth', As East You Go, the More They Grow: Transition Economies in a New Setting, wiiw Research Report, No. 308, Vienna, July 2004, pp. 29-32
- 'Czech Republic: international competitiveness strengthening', Transition Countries on the Eve of EU Enlargement, wiiw Research Report, No. 303, Vienna, February 2004, pp. 48-51
- 'Country Report Czech Republic: falling prices, rising output', Transition Countries in 2003: Reforms and Restructuring Keep the Global Economic Slowdown at Bay, wiiw Research Report, No. 297, Vienna, July 2003, pp. 58-60
- 'Country Report Czech Republic: the czech economy dragging its feet', Transition Countries Resist Global Slowdown: Productivity Gains Offset Effects of Appreciation, wiiw Research Report, No. 293, Vienna, February 2003, pp. 66-69
- 'Transition Countries Face Up to Global Stagnation: Is It Catching?', wiiw Research Report, No. 283, Vienna, February 2002
- 'Konkurrenzfähigkeit der CEFTA-Landwirtschaft und Auswirkungen auf Österreich (with English Summary)' (with Zdenek Lukas), wiiw Research Report, No. 272, Vienna, October 2000
- 'Transition Countries Clamber Aboard the Business Boom in Western Europe. Upswing masks persistent transition-related problems', wiiw Research Report, No. 264, Vienna, February 2000
wiiw Research Papers in German Language
- 'Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in der Schwarzmeerregion und Herausforderungen für eine Internationalisierungsoffensive Österreichs ' (with Vasily Astrov, Peter Havlik and Gabor Hunya), wiiw Research Papers in German language, No. 2010-10, Vienna, October 2010
- 'Erholungstendenzen in den MOEL', Vasily Astrov, Peter Havlik and Kazimierz Laski (eds), wiiw Research Papers in German language, No. 2010-05, Vienna, June 2010
- 'MOEL im Sog der Krise (CEECs Falling Prey to the International Crisis)' (with Vasily Astrov), wiiw Research Papers in German language, No. 2009-05, Vienna, May 2009
- 'Internationale Konjunkturflaute stellt Wirtschaft der MOEL auf die Probe (Reprint from: WIFO-Monatsberichte, Vol. 76, No. 5, May 2003)', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
- 'Wirkung der weltweiten Wirtschaftsflaute in den MOEL begrenzt (Reprint from: WIFO-Monatsberichte, Vol. 75, No. 5, May 2002)', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
- 'Wirtschaftswachstum hat in Ost-Mitteleuropa Höhepunkt vorläufig überschritten (Reprint from: WIFO-Monatsberichte, Vol. 74, No. 5, May 2001)', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
- 'Wirtschaft Ost-Mittel-Europas auf Wachstumskurs (Reprint from: WIFO-Monatsberichte, Vol. 73, No. 5, May 2000)', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
Other wiiw publications
- 'The Ukrainian Economy between Russia and the Enlarged EU: Consequences for Trade and Investment' (with Vasily Astrov and Zdenek Lukas), wiiw Country Profiles, No. 23, Vienna, March 2006
- 'Turkey: Macroeconomic Vulnerability, Competitiveness and the Labour Market' (with Vasily Astrov, Hermine Vidovic and Julia Wörz), wiiw Country Profiles, No. 21, Vienna, April 2005
- 'Structural Characteristics of Agriculture and the Food Industry' (with Doris Hanzl-Weiss and Zdenek Lukas), in: Michael Landesmann (ed), wiiw Structural Report 2003 on Central and Eastern Europe, Volume 3, wiiw Structural Report, Vol. 3, Vienna, October 2003
- 'Bosnia and Herzegovina after Five Years of Reconstruction', wiiw Country Profiles, Update, Vienna, October 2001 (Update)
