wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts

Albania: Something is rotten

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Mario Holzner

in: Recovery - in Low Gear across Tough Terrain
wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts No. 7, March 2011 , pp. 88-90

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In Albania the political stalemate after clashes during a violent anti-government demonstration in January 2011 is not expected to have a major economic impact in the short term. However, if the political system is stymied by personal animosities among the country’s leading politicians, this might prove to be a major stumbling block on the path to EU membership and subsequent EU transfers and integration into European production networks. For the period 2011-2013, we expect a gradual increase in the GDP growth rate. The forecast hinges on further recovery of the European economy and governmental stimulus of domestic demand.

 

Reference to wiiw databases: wiiw Annual Database, wiiw Monthly Database

Countries covered: Albania, SEE


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