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Labour mobility within the EU in the context of enlargement and the functioning
of the transitional arrangements |
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The study focuses on assessing recent and future migration flows from the new EU member states to the EU-15.
It was carried out on behalf of the Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities Directorate General of the European Commission (contract VC/2007/0293). The study was conducted by a consortium consisting of the Institute for Employment Research (IAB) in Nuremberg, the Centre for Migration Research (CMR) at the University of Warsaw, the Fondazione Rodolfo DeBenedetti (fRDB) at the Bocconi University in Milan, the Leverhulme Centre for Research in Globalisation and Economic Policy (GEP) at the University of Nottingham, the Austrian Institute for Economic Research (WIFO) and the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw).
Results show that immigration from the eight Eastern European member countries has raised the gross domestic product of the EU by 0.2 per cent or 24 billion euros since their accession in 2004. The authors estimate that the gross domestic product of the EU will rise again by just short of 22 billion euros by 2011. If freedom of movement were introduced in all EU- member states as of 2009 the effect would be roughly ten per cent higher, namely 24 billion euros.
The study furthermore analyzes the diverse ways of implementing free movement during the transitional periods and their effects on the regional distribution of migration across Europe. Researchers expect that immigration will decline on account of the economic crisis as increasing unemployment in the countries of destination makes labour migration less attractive.
The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of the European Commission.
Free download of the Final Study, various background analyses and 15 Country Reports on UK, SE, RO, PL, LV IT, IE, HU, HR, FR, ES, DK, DE, BG, AT.
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