Macroeconomic Effects of Remittances and Temporary Migration
11 April 2011 1:00 pm
TIMO BAAS, Institute for Employment Research (IAB) and Free University of Berlin
wiiw, Rahlgasse 3, 1060 Vienna, lecture hall (entrance from the ground floor)
The free movement of persons is a fundamental right guaranteed to European Union (EU) citizens which is about to change not only the size of migration flows but also the behavior of migrants regarding the duration of stay. In our empirical analysis we show that migrants who intend to live only temporary in Germany are more likely to remit a higher amount of money. As we have seen in the UK, strong remittances flows provoke fears among natives of a loss in domestic purchasing power. Using a general equilibrium model with altruistic households and imperfect labor markets, we show that Germany will benefit from both, migration and remittances. Fears about an increase in temporary migration and stronger remittances harming the domestic economy seem to be unjustified even as we observe an opposite Dutch-disease-like redistribution of production from services to the manufacturing sectors.