Growth slowed down markedly at the turn of 2016. For the most part, because of imports surged. It recovered for the rest of the year and is poised to return to 3% or thereabout in the medium term. Political risks also contributed to economic volatility, while some stability should have returned after early elections had been held. The economy will continue to rely even more on services, i.e. on tourism.
|Main Economic Indicators||2014||2015||2016||2017||2018||2019|
|Population, 1000 persons.||622||622||625||.||.||.|
|GDP, real change in %||1.8||3.4||2.7||3.1||2.9||3.3|
|GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)||11300||12100||12400||.||.||.|
|Gross industrial production, real change in %||-11.4||7.9||-4.4||.||.||.|
|Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average||18.0||17.6||17.5||17.0||16.5||16.5|
|Average gross monthly wages, EUR||723||725||751||.||.||.|
|Consumer prices, % p.a.||-0.5||1.4||0.1||1.5||2.0||2.0|
|Fiscal balance in % of GDP||-3.0||-8.0||-1.6||.||.||.|
|Public debt in % of GDP||56.2||62.8||61.0||.||.||.|
|Current account in % of GDP||-15.2||-13.3||-17.0||-16.4||-20.7||-19.8|
|FDI inflow, EUR mn||375||630||150||.||.||.|
|Gross external debt in % of GDP||45.2||54.0||53.0||.||.||.|
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
MONTENEGRO: Growth returns
in: Cautious Upturn in CESEE: Haunted by the Spectre of Uncertainty
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2017, March 2017 , pp. 96-98 Details and Buy
Monthly Report No. 7-8/2016
Vasily Astrov, Serkan Çiçek, Rumen Dobrinsky, Vladimir Gligorov, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Peter Havlik, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya, Simona Jokubauskaite, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July-August 2016
25 pages including 1 Table and 1 Figure