Kazakhstan

Higher oil prices allowed for faster economic growth and stabilisation of the exchange rate at the end of 2016. Inflation has slowed and will likely stay within the target range of the national bank. GDP has been growing mainly on the back of investment, while consumer demand has been sluggish. Growth of the economy will accelerate during 2017-2019, but the growth rate will be lower than in the pre-2015 years – at 2 3% annually. Investment will continue to be the main driver of growth.

map Kazakhstan
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201420152016201720182019
Population, 1000 persons.172891754417800...
GDP, real change in %4.21.21.02.03.03.0
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)182001870018600...
Gross industrial production, real change in %0.3-1.6-1.1...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average5.05.05.05.05.05.0
Average gross monthly wages, EUR508513376...
Consumer prices, % p.a.6.76.614.67.06.06.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-2.7-2.2-1.6...
Public debt in % of GDP14.622.725.7...
Current account in % of GDP2.8-2.8-6.4-2.4-1.9-2.2
FDI inflow, EUR mn5437581915947...
Gross external debt in % of GDP77.784.3129.5...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

publication_icon

KAZAKHSTAN: Benefiting from higher oil prices

Olga Pindyuk
in: Cautious Upturn in CESEE: Haunted by the Spectre of Uncertainty
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2017, , pp. 77-80
Details and Buy

publication_icon

Monthly Report No. 7-8/2016

Vasily Astrov, Serkan Çiçek, Rumen Dobrinsky, Vladimir Gligorov, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Peter Havlik, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya, Simona Jokubauskaite, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8,
25 pages including 1 Table and 1 Figure

Details


top