Countries Overview

Albania

The economy expanded by 3.4% in 2023, driven by increased domestic and external demand. Public finances remain robust, and efforts toward fiscal consolidation ...

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Belarus

In 2023, the economy almost totally recouped the losses incurred the previous year as a result of the Western sanctions. GDP grew by 3.9%, underpinned by a ...

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Bosnia and Herzegovina

GDP growth in 2023 is estimated to have been 1.7% and to have been largely driven by a rise in consumer spending, spurred by falling inflation and higher real ...

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Bulgaria

Bulgarians are being summoned to the polls again in June, in the fifth snap election since 2021. Growth slowed in 2023 and weak performance has continued in the...

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Croatia

Croatia’s accession to the euro area and the EU’s border-free Schengen zone boosted tourism in 2023, with EU-related funds supporting investment activity. ...

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Czechia

Following a minor contraction in 2023, the Czech economy will see a mild recovery this year. As inflation falls sharply and real wages rise, consumption will be...

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Estonia

The past year presented significant challenges for the Estonian economy. A constellation of factors, including the disproportionately severe impact of the war ...

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Hungary

Runaway inflation was curbed by the end of 2023. The current account closed with a surplus, largely because of a decline in imports due to shrinking ...

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Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan’s economy ended 2023 among CESEE’s top-performing economies, with strong private consumption and investment driving economic growth. Despite ...

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Kosovo

The risks related to external tensions tend toward the upside. Despite the challenges posed by certain external events, the economy has demonstrated remarkable ...

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Latvia

While 2023 ended with GDP declining slightly (0.3%), this year will see an upswing of 1.6%. We expect external demand to shrink further, but by less than last ...

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Lithuania

The economy performed worse than expected in 2023, with GDP declining by 0.3%. With the substantial fall in inflation, real incomes had already started to pick ...

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Moldova

Economic growth will pick up to 3.5% in 2024, following a very modest showing of 0.7% last year. Inflation will stabilise at a low level, allowing for monetary ...

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Montenegro

Amidst political turmoil, Montenegro managed in 2023 to achieve considerable growth of 6%. This owed much to a record tourist season, the influx of Russian and ...

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North Macedonia

The measures adopted by the government ahead of the elections in April and May are breathing life into the economy, with all the indicators now pointing in a ...

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Poland

A shallow recession in the first half of 2023 was followed by a moderate recovery in the second, allowing GDP to grow by 0.2% in 2023 as a whole. Inflation and ...

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Romania

While high fiscal and current account deficits are lasting features of the Romanian economy, they do not pose any imminent danger. Fiscal austerity will not be ...

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Russia

Last year, GDP expanded by 3.6%, thanks largely to the boom in military production, which has had positive effects – both direct and indirect – for most of ...

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Serbia

The decline in inflation is boosting real incomes and consumption, while the industrial sector appears to be coming back to life, after two challenging years. ...

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Slovakia

While Slovakia’s GDP increased by only 1.1% in 2023, wiiw forecasts a gradual improvement in growth in the coming years. This will mainly be driven by ...

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Slovenia

This year will bring higher growth than 2023. Real GDP is expected to grow by 2.5%, thanks to private spending and investment in infrastructure. Exports and ...

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Turkey

In 2023, Turkey’s economy grew by 4.5%, driven by strong domestic demand, but constrained by declining exports. The current account deficit improved modestly ...

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Ukraine

GDP growth exceeded 5% in 2023, thanks to the resilience of the economy under war conditions and ample financial and military aid from the West. The ...

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