Turkey

Although economic growth was firm in the first half of 2016, driven by an increase in private consumption and government spending, expectations have somewhat waned recently owing to rising vulnerabilities. Despite the government’s measures to boost private consumption, we expect a GDP growth rate of 3.3% for the current year, before it slows down to 3% and 2.7% for 2017 and 2018, respectively.

map Turkey
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201320142015201620172018
Population, 1000 persons.761487718278218...
GDP, real change in %4.23.04.03.33.02.7
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)141001450015000...
Gross industrial production, real change in %3.03.63.2...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average9.79.910.310.410.310.2
Average gross monthly wages, EUR......
Consumer prices, % p.a.7.58.97.77.87.67.1
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-1.5-0.9-1.1...
Public debt in % of GDP36.133.532.9...
Current account in % of GDP-7.8-5.5-4.5-5.5-5.0-5.0
FDI inflow, EUR mn9297944715238...
Gross external debt in % of GDP45.755.156.6...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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TURKEY: Inevitable economic slowdown in sight

Serkan Çiçek
in: Labour Shortages Driving Economic Growth?
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2016, , pp. 116-120
Details and Buy

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Monthly Report No. 7-8/2016

Vasily Astrov, Serkan Çiçek, Rumen Dobrinsky, Vladimir Gligorov, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Peter Havlik, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya, Simona Jokubauskaite, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8,
25 pages including 1 Table and 1 Figure

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