A New Growth Model After the Crisis?

Vasily Astrov, Vladimir Gligorov, Peter Havlik, Michael Landesmann, Roman Römisch, Susan Schadler, Robert Stehrer and Hermine Vidovic

presented at: A New Growth Model After the Crisis? (19 Mar 2010)

hosted by Raiffeisen Zentralbank
Friday, 19 March 2010, 9:00 a.m.
1030 Vienna, Am Stadtpark 9, Raiffeisensaal

Economic Prospects for Central, East and Southeast Europe
by Peter Havlik, wiiw
Deep recession, shallow recovery * Transmission channels of the crisis *
Driving forces of an upswing * Downward risks of the forecast *
Breathing pause in catching-up
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Revisiting the Growth Model in Central and Eastern Europe
by Michael Landesmann and Vladimir Gligorov, wiiw
Behavioural responses to the crisis * External constraints * Differentiation across Central-Eastern Europe *
Real exchange rates * Scope for fiscal policy * Financial market regulation * EU support
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Keynote Speech: Getting Back to Business after the Crisis
by Susan Schadler, St. Antony's College, Oxford
Hard questions for "emerging Europe" * Macroeconomic aspects of the current debate *
Room for policy manoeuvre * Weaknesses in the commitment to full integration
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Ukraine after the Presidential Elections
by Vasily Astrov, wiiw
Effects of the crisis * Export-led recovery * Regional divisions * More balanced policies? * Outlook scenarios
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Effects of the Crisis on Labour Markets
by Robert Stehrer, Hermine Vidovic, wiiw
Effects of recession * Impacts on employment and unemployment * Effects on job structures * Medium-term prospects
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European Regions: Growth Dynamics and Growth Factors
by Roman Römisch, wiiw
Regional convergence and divergence * Factors of growth specific to regions * Future challenges
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Tables
Overview developments 2008-2009 and outlook 2010-2012
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Country tables: Selected Economic Indicators
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Countries covered: Central, East and Southeast Europe, Ukraine

Research Areas: Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy, Labour, Migration and Income Distribution

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