Belarus

GDP grew by 1.1% in the first quarter, which was a modest recovery after the downturn in the second half of 2018. Private consumption provided the main impetus to growth thanks to a continued rise in real wages and consumer credit. Economic relations with Russia remain tense due to continuing trade disputes, in particular, related to the supply of oil and gas. GDP growth is expected to remain sluggish in the short run and is likely to be around 2% for 2019 as a whole.

map Belarus
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201620172018201920202021
Population, 1000 persons950294989484...
GDP, real change in %-2.52.53.02.32.12.0
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)132001340014000...
Gross industrial production, real change in %-0.46.15.7...
Unemployment rate reg., in %, end of period0.80.50.30.50.5.
Average gross monthly wages, EUR328377399...
Consumer prices, % p.a.11.86.04.97.08.08.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP1.53.04.0...
Public debt in % of GDP53.553.444.0...
Current account in % of GDP-3.4-1.7-0.4-0.9-1.2-1.7
FDI inflow, EUR mn113311301253...
Gross external debt in % of GDP83.369.067.3...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

publication_icon

Monthly Report No. 6/2019

Vasily Astrov, Rumen Dobrinsky, Richard Grieveson, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Gabor Hunya, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter, Hermine Vidovic and Goran Vuksic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 6, June 2019
27 pages including 24 Tables and 1 Figure

Details

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BELARUS: Growth set to slow down

Rumen Dobrinsky
in: Moving Into the Slow Lane
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2019, March 2019 , pp. 62-66
Details and Buy


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