Countries Overview

Albania

The economy is expected to grow at 3.6% in 2024, driven by robust domestic and external demand. Domestic demand is benefiting from strong household consumption,...

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Belarus

Recent short-term indicators suggest that after slowing down towards the end of 2023, economic performance in Belarus strengthened at the beginning of 2024: in ...

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Bosnia and Herzegovina

Inflation remained stable at 2% in Q1 2024, with no new inflationary pressures on the horizon. We are therefore reducing our inflation forecast for 2024 by 0.4 ...

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Bulgaria

The snap parliamentary elections held at the same time as the European vote did not result in any major change on the political scene: the GERB party came first...

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Croatia

Croatia’s GDP expanded by 3.9% year on year in Q1 2024. The country’s accession to the EU’s border-free Schengen Area and the euro area is providing a ...

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Czechia

The Czech economy grew by 0.2% year on year in Q1 2024 , with household consumption and external demand contributing most significantly. Real wages finally grew...

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Estonia

After two years of continuous recession, the Estonian economy is finally perking up. In Q1 2024, the economy experienced a 2.4% decline year on year, yet this ...

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Hungary

GDP increased by 1.1% in the first quarter of the year. Services performed at above the average growth rate, while industry has witnessed considerable shrinkage...

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Kazakhstan

Economic performance in Q1 2024 was weaker than expected, with real GDP growth of 3.7% year on year, down from 5.5% in Q4 2023. A 0.6% decline in oil production...

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Kosovo

In 2024, economic growth will remain consumption led, with investment also contributing positively. A lower rate of increase in consumer prices, rising ...

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Latvia

A contraction in external demand and investment resulted in GDP stagnating in Q1 2024. Looking ahead over the year as a whole, the economy will recover, though ...

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Lithuania

In Q1 2024, the Lithuanian economy returned to growth mode, increasing by 2.9% in real terms year on year. Household consumption resumed its position as the ...

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Moldova

The economy emerged from recession in mid-2023, but has not yet achieved sustained take-off. Early 2024 data indicate sluggish growth, based on a modest ...

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Montenegro

The economy is continuing to grow robustly, with GDP expanding by 4.4% year on year in Q1. The main driver of growth was investment, with inflows of foreign ...

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North Macedonia

Economic growth in the first quarter was weaker than anticipated. Despite robust fiscal support ahead of the elections and an increase in real wages, GDP grew ...

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Poland

GDP rose by 2% year on year in Q1 2024, driven by strong consumption. External balances remain positive. Rising real wages and investment will speed up growth ...

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Romania

Economic growth will be faster in 2024 than in the previous year, despite a modest start. In spite of recovering household consumption and a rapid expansion in ...

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Russia

In Q1 2024, real GDP grew by 5.4% year on year, following 4.9% in Q4 2023. The high growth rate in Q1 should partly be viewed against the low basis from Q1 ...

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Serbia

The overall economic situation in the country is continuing to improve, with GDP growth of 4.7% year on year in Q1. All sectors and GDP components experienced ...

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Slovakia

After a figure of 1.6% in 2023, in Q1 2024 Slovakia experienced unexpectedly rapid GDP growth of 2.7% year on year, making it one of the fastest-growing ...

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Slovenia

In 2024, Slovenia’s GDP is expected to grow by 2.4% – well above the EU average. Growth will be driven by government spending (primarily on rebuilding ...

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Turkey

As expected, GDP growth in Q1 2024 was strong, but high-frequency economic indicators suggest a modest deceleration in domestic demand from Q2 2024. Household ...

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Ukraine

The economy showed strong growth in Q1 2024 of about 4.5% year on year (according to estimates by the Ministry of Economy), as the functioning Black Sea ...

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