Countries Overview

Albania

The economic outlook is stable. Economic growth has been stable and solid, averaging 3.7% for the first three quarters of 2025. It has been driven by domestic ...

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Belarus

Declining exports were the main reason for the sharp slowdown in GDP growth to 1.3% in 2025, after 4.3% in 2024. The physical volume of exports was roughly 10% ...

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Bosnia and Herzegovina

Economic activity in 2025 showed moderate growth, with variable performance across the different sectors. Real GDP expanded by 2.1% in Q3 2025 (year on year), ...

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Bulgaria

Domestic demand remains the main growth driver. During H2 2025, the economy continued to grow robustly, at slightly above 3%, driven by strong domestic demand. ...

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Croatia

After around 3% in 2025, economic growth is expected to moderate this year, though it will remain above the euro area average. Last year, growth was driven by ...

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Czechia

Domestic demand remains the main driver of growth. The Czech economy maintained a strong growth trajectory through late 2025, with Q3 GDP increasing by 0.8% ...

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Estonia

Following a prolonged period of recession and stagnation, Estonia is set to return to growth. After an estimated 1.4% in 2025, real GDP growth is projected to ...

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Hungary

The spectacular take-off envisaged by the government for 2025 did not come about. Data on Q4 suggest that annual GDP growth may have amounted to only 0.3%. Weak...

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Kazakhstan

After decade-high economic growth of 6.5% in 2025, the economy is expected to slow this year to 4.5%. The boost from the Tengiz oil field expansion, which ...

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Kosovo

There has been solid growth amidst the political uncertainty. The economy expanded by 3.5% in Q1-Q3 2025, driven by investment and consumption. Overall growth ...

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Latvia

More rapid growth lies ahead. Following a period of recession and stagnation in 2023-2024, the Latvian economy started to recover last year, and economic ...

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Lithuania

Economic recovery is continuing at a decent pace. Following a recovery in 2024, the Lithuanian economy grew satisfactorily last year, with the wind set fair for...

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Moldova

Growth has resumed, thanks to the good weather. After stagnating in H1 2025, GDP grew by 5.2% in Q3 year on year; that makes 2% for Q1-Q3. Value added in ...

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Montenegro

Economic growth is set to stay moderate rather than accelerate. After an estimated 3.3% in 2025, we expect a continuation of steady growth of slightly above 3% ...

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North Macedonia

Growth has turned out to be stronger than we had expected. Real GDP increased by 3.8% in Q3 2025, and we now estimate full-year growth at 3.4%. This is still ...

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Poland

Economic growth remains robust, supported by disinflation and resilient domestic demand. In Q3 2025, real GDP expanded by 3.8% year on year, and full-year ...

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Romania

Delays to fiscal consolidation allowed for a temporary improvement in 2025. Economic growth picked up in Q3, so that GDP was 1.5% higher in Q1-Q3 2025 than a ...

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Russia

After two years of economic boom in 2023-2024, in 2025 the economy cooled steadily to reach stagnation by the end of last year. After 1.2% in H1 2025 (year on ...

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Serbia

Economic growth remains anaemic, largely due to weak FDI inflows. Real GDP is estimated to have grown by 2% in 2025, in line with our forecast and well below ...

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Slovakia

In 2025 GDP growth in Slovakia was rather subdued. The latest growth data show a slightly better result for Q3 2025 (0.9% year on year) than for Q1 and Q2 (0.8%...

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Slovenia

After a slowdown in 2025, GDP growth is expected to accelerate to 2% in 2026, partly supported by favourable base effects. The acceleration will be ...

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Turkey

Economic activity has so far remained resilient, despite high inflation, tight monetary policy and weak external demand. In 2025, the main drivers of growth ...

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Ukraine

The outlook is worsening. In 2025 the growth of Ukraine’s economy slowed to about 2%, compared to 3.2% in 2024. The main factors behind the sluggish dynamics ...

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