Poland
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 36687 | 36559 | 36500 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 0.2 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 29520 | 31460 | 33850 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | -1.2 | 0.6 | 2.6 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 1585 | 1895 | 2100 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | 10.8 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.0 |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | -5.2 | -6.5 | -7.3 | -6.5 | -6.2 | -6.0 |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 49.5 | 54.8 | 59.7 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | 1.5 | 0.3 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| FDI inflow, EUR m | 32988 | 18998 | 18198 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 52.0 | 52.0 | 50.2 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
publication_icon
Monthly Report No. 05/2026 - FDI in Central, East and Southeast Europe
Beata Borosak, Branimir Jovanović, Olga Pindyuk, Robert Stehrer and Juliane Unger
wiiw Monthly Report No. 05, May 2026
45 pages including 5 Tables and 23 Figures
publication_icon
Executive summary
Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details
Poland’s economy continues to grow solidly, supported by resilient domestic demand, lower interest rates and EU-funded investment. However, the latest escalation in the Middle East has sharply increased the risk of a new import cost shock through higher energy prices, although Poland enters this period with a relatively favourable external position. Fiscal policy is likely to remain expansionary, driven by high defence spending and measures to cushion the rising cost of living. GDP growth is still projected to be 3.6% in 2026, but the balance of risk has shifted towards somewhat lower growth and higher inflation.