Economic growth should accelerate to about 5% in 2019 on account of booming investments. After correcting for the current overheating, growth is expected to hover at around 4% in the coming years. A resumption of transfers from the IMF and EU will stabilise external financing. The current government coalition of pro-EU and pro-Russian parties has strong external support but may clash on domestic reforms.

map Moldova
Main Economic Indicators201620172018201920202021
Population, 1000 persons280227552706...
GDP, real change in %
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)590062006900...
Gross industrial production, real change in %
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average4.
Average gross monthly wages, EUR227268316...
Consumer prices, % p.a.
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-1.6-0.6-0.8...
Public debt in % of GDP31.829.127.2...
Current account in % of GDP-3.5-5.7-10.6-9.8-9.2-8.2
FDI inflow, EUR mn80137264...
Gross external debt in % of GDP81.368.067.7...

Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.


Monthly Report No. 11/2019

Vasily Astrov, Mahdi Ghodsi, Mario Holzner, David Pichler and Leon Podkaminer
wiiw Monthly Report No. 11, November 2019
44 pages including 1 Table and 27 Figures



MOLDOVA: Solid growth amidst fragile political consolidation

Gabor Hunya
in: Braced for Fallout from Global Slowdown
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2019, November 2019 , pp. 87-90
Details and Buy