Economic growth should accelerate to about 5% in 2019 on account of booming investments. After correcting for the current overheating, growth is expected to hover at around 4% in the coming years. A resumption of transfers from the IMF and EU will stabilise external financing. The current government coalition of pro-EU and pro-Russian parties has strong external support but may clash on domestic reforms.

map Moldova
Main Economic Indicators201720182019202020212022
Population, 1000 persons275527062640...
GDP, real change in %
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)620067007500...
Gross industrial production, real change in %
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average4.
Average gross monthly wages, EUR268316356...
Consumer prices, % p.a.
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-0.6-0.8-1.4...
Public debt in % of GDP29.127.226.3...
Current account in % of GDP-5.7-10.6-10.7-9.2-8.2.
FDI inflow, EUR mn137264490...
Gross external debt in % of GDP68.067.663.0...

Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.


Monthly Report No. 01/2020

Richard Grieveson, Sebastian Leitner and Isilda Mara
wiiw Monthly Report No. 1, January 2020
44 pages including 5 Tables and 29 Figures



MOLDOVA: Solid growth amidst fragile political consolidation

Gabor Hunya
in: Braced for Fallout from Global Slowdown
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2019, November 2019 , pp. 87-90
Details and Buy