Slovenia
GDP growth is expected to reach 4.5% in 2018, but will slow due to lower export growth in the forecast period. Domestic demand, investments fuelled by EU funding and steady consumption growth will remain the main drivers of GDP growth. The shrinking of the working-age population and increasing labour shortages will put an upward pressure on wages.
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 2065 | 2066 | 2070 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 3.1 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 3.5 | . |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 24100 | 25500 | 27000 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | 7.1 | 7.7 | 4.5 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 8.0 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | . |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 1584 | 1626 | 1682 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | -0.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | . |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | -1.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | . | . | . |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 78.7 | 74.1 | 70.2 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | 5.5 | 7.2 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 5.1 | . |
| FDI inflow, EUR mn | 1298 | 966 | 1282 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 111.0 | 101.9 | 92.9 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
SLOVENIA: Another successful year
Hermine Vidovic
in: Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2018, November 2018 , pp. 134-137
Details and Buy
Monthly Report No. 7-8/2017
Vasily Astrov, Rumen Dobrinsky, Vladimir Gligorov, Richard Grieveson, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Peter Havlik, Gabor Hunya, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, August 2017
27 pages including 1 Table and 2 Figures