map Slovenia
This year will bring higher growth than 2023. Real GDP is expected to grow by 2.5%, thanks to private spending and investment in infrastructure. Exports and industrial production will recover, but will be hampered by sluggish export demand. Inflation will fall to 3.3%. A labour shortage and upward wage pressure are key issues for the labour market. Mid-term growth rates are expected to be lower than pre-pandemic, potentially reflecting the effects of increased energy prices.
Main Economic Indicators202120222023202420252026
Population, 1000 persons210821122120...
GDP, real change in %
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)293303188034380...
Gross industrial production, real change in %10.11.2-5.6...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average4.
Average gross monthly wages, EUR197020242221...
Consumer prices, % p.a.
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-4.6-3.0-2.5-3.5-2.0-0.6
Public debt in % of GDP74.472.569.2...
Current account in % of GDP3.3-
FDI inflow, EUR m185620511056...
Gross external debt in % of GDP97.490.991.8...

Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.


Executive summary

Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII


Monthly Report No. 1/2024

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Rumen Dobrinsky, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Niko Korpar, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm, Maryna Tverdostup and Adam Żurawski
wiiw Monthly Report No. 1, January 2024
50 pages including 5 Tables and 18 Figures