Latvia

map Latvia
Latvia’s economy is set to grow moderately in the coming years, supported primarily by strong public investment and improving domestic demand, though external conditions remain fragile. Inflation is expected to stay relatively elevated, driven by robust wage growth, and uncertainty remains high on account of the geopolitical tensions. While investment will continue to underpin growth, weak external demand and structural challenges in key sectors are likely to preclude more robust growth.
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators202320242025202620272028
Population, 1000 persons188418661850...
GDP, real change in %-0.90.02.11.92.02.4
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)267502754029530...
Gross industrial production, real change in %-6.4-2.23.6...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average6.56.96.97.06.86.4
Average gross monthly wages, EUR153716851815...
Consumer prices, % p.a.9.11.33.83.43.12.8
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-2.4-1.8-2.9-3.3-3.0-2.5
Public debt in % of GDP44.446.248.0...
Current account in % of GDP-3.8-1.5-3.4-3.8-3.6-3.6
FDI inflow, EUR m15251401139...
Gross external debt in % of GDP101.397.799.5...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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Monthly Report No. 1/2026

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Maciej Grodzicki, Ioannis Gutzianas, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Marina Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 1, January 2026
58 pages including 6 Tables and 15 Figures

Details

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Executive summary

Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details


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