North Macedonia
The economy is recovering after its growth came to a halt during the political crisis two years ago. The potential growth rate is around 4%, at least as long as there is large slack in the labour market. Growth should be above 3% this year, and increase further in the medium run. The delayed start to EU accession negotiations could yet have negative repercussions for domestic politics.
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 2075 | 2076 | 2100 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 1.1 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | . |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 10900 | 11500 | 12000 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | 0.2 | 5.4 | 3.7 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 22.4 | 20.7 | 17.0 | 17.5 | 17.5 | . |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 547 | 579 | 606 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 2.5 | . |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | -2.8 | -1.1 | -1.8 | . | . | . |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 47.6 | 48.6 | 47.0 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | -1.0 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -2.5 | -3.1 | . |
| FDI inflow, EUR mn | 351 | 539 | 500 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 73.4 | 73.3 | 77.5 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
NORTH MACEDONIA: Recovery underway
Vladimir Gligorov
in: Braced for Fallout from Global Slowdown
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2019, November 2019 , pp. 94-96
Details and Buy
Monthly Report No. 6/2019
Vasily Astrov, Rumen Dobrinsky, Richard Grieveson, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Gabor Hunya, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter, Hermine Vidovic and Goran Vuksic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 6, June 2019
27 pages including 24 Tables and 1 Figure