Bulgaria
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 6447 | 6441 | 6420 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 1.7 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 24250 | 26320 | 28330 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | -8.3 | -3.1 | -7.7 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 4.3 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 1043 | 1189 | 1331 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | 8.6 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | -2.0 | -3.1 | -3.5 | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 22.9 | 23.8 | 29.9 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | -1.2 | -0.5 | -5.7 | -4.9 | -3.6 | -2.7 |
| FDI inflow, EUR m | 4792 | 2819 | 4264 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 48.4 | 48.3 | 50.5 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
Monthly Report No. 7-8/2026
Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Ioannis Gutzianas, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Isilda Mara, Michał Możdżeń, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Marina Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July-August 2026
52 pages including 5 Tables
Executive summary
Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details