Russia

GDP growth for 2018 surprised everybody. Net exports and investments were the main drivers, the record current account surplus and a low inflation among the cheerful passengers. But neither the pace of growth nor the size of the current account surplus is sustainable and will be maintained. Still, the accumulated reserves and cautious economic policies will serve as a buffer mitigating external risks. Stability and weak growth will thus characterise Russian developments in the coming years.

map Russia
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201620172018201920202021
Population, 1000 persons146675146842146831...
GDP, real change in %0.31.62.31.81.71.9
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)180001840019000...
Gross industrial production, real change in %2.22.12.9...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average5.55.24.84.94.94.7
Average gross monthly wages, EUR494595588...
Consumer prices, % p.a.7.13.62.95.54.04.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-3.7-1.52.9...
Public debt in % of GDP12.912.612.1...
Current account in % of GDP1.92.16.92.72.82.7
FDI inflow, EUR mn29381252967480...
Gross external debt in % of GDP42.031.028.2...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

publication_icon

Monthly Report No. 4/2019

Amat Adarov, Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova and Olga Pindyuk
wiiw Monthly Report No. 4, April 2019
45 pages including 32 Figures

Details

publication_icon

RUSSIA: GDP growth will fall back after an unexpected uptick in 2018

Peter Havlik
in: Moving Into the Slow Lane
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2019, March 2019 , pp. 122-125
Details and Buy


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