Montenegro

map Montenegro
Economic growth is set to stay moderate rather than accelerate. After an estimated 3.3% in 2025, we expect a continuation of steady growth of slightly above 3% over 2026-2028. Growth is mainly driven by private consumption, helped by solid wage rises and a still-strong labour market. Investment and infrastructure development should contribute as well, although slow procedures render them unreliable for planning. Exports are weak, tourism is stagnating, and public spending is on an upward trajectory, with the health and pension funds requiring significant subsidies to remain operational.
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators202320242025202620272028
Population, 1000 persons624624....
GDP, real change in %6.53.23.33.23.03.1
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)1990021360....
Gross industrial production, real change in %6.40.2-9.3...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average13.111.59.59.59.49.3
Average gross monthly wages, EUR98710821206...
Consumer prices, % p.a.8.73.64.13.63.42.7
Fiscal balance in % of GDP0.6-3.1-3.4-3.7-3.8-4.0
Public debt in % of GDP58.459.859.0...
Current account in % of GDP-11.2-17.1-17.8-17.1-16.0-15.0
FDI inflow, EUR m487554....
Gross external debt in % of GDP128.2126.6133.0...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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Monthly Report No. 1/2026

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Maciej Grodzicki, Ioannis Gutzianas, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Marina Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 1, January 2026
58 pages including 6 Tables and 15 Figures

Details

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Executive summary

Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
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