Montenegro

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In 2026, the economy is projected to expand by 2.8%, largely driven by household consumption and investment. Consumer price inflation averaged 4.1% in 2025 and is forecast to rise to 4.3% in 2026, with the energy price shock. An agreement with France has now been translated into concrete infrastructure projects, including a new clinical centre in Podgorica and a section of the Adriatic-Ionian Highway. While this may support growth in the short run, such government-to-government arrangements also raise concerns, as they can bypass ordinary procurement procedures and weaken transparency and oversight.
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators202320242025202620272028
Population, 1000 persons624624623...
GDP, real change in %6.53.22.72.82.93.0
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)199002136022540...
Gross industrial production, real change in %6.40.2-9.3...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average13.111.510.79.39.49.3
Average gross monthly wages, EUR98710821206...
Consumer prices, % p.a.8.73.64.14.33.53.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP0.6-3.3-4.3-3.7-3.8-4.0
Public debt in % of GDP58.459.863.5...
Current account in % of GDP-11.2-17.1-20.5-19.4-19.2-20.9
FDI inflow, EUR m487554597...
Gross external debt in % of GDP128.2126.6126.3...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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Monthly Report No. 7-8/2026

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Ioannis Gutzianas, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Isilda Mara, Michał Możdżeń, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Marina Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July-August 2026
52 pages including 5 Tables

Details

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Executive summary

Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
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