Bosnia and Herzegovina
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 3422 | 3412 | 3402 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 13590 | 14630 | 15600 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | -3.9 | -4.0 | -1.8 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 13.2 | 12.6 | 12.2 | 12.4 | 12.3 | 12.0 |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 995 | 1093 | 1246 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | 6.1 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | -1.2 | -1.8 | -2.2 | -3.3 | -2.0 | -1.5 |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 26.4 | 26.1 | 26.2 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | -2.3 | -3.6 | -4.0 | -4.3 | -4.4 | -4.3 |
| FDI inflow, EUR m | 1066 | 897 | 759 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 47.0 | 47.5 | 45.4 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
publication_icon
Monthly Report No. 09/2026
Alexandra Bykova, Kristijan Fidanovski, Richard Grieveson, Philipp Heimberger, Mario Holzner, Jelena Jovanović and Olga Pindyuk
wiiw Monthly Report No. 09, September 2026
35 pages including 10 Figures
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Executive summary
Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details
Bosnia and Herzegovina enters the final quarter of 2026 with positive but subdued growth, a widening external deficit and continuing political challenges. It is estimated that real GDP will grow by 2.2% this year, to be followed by an acceleration to 2.8% in 2027 and 3% in 2028. Inflation fell from 6.8% in April to 3.6% in July, but continued tensions in the Middle East have put domestic fuel prices under renewed pressure. The general election on 4 October confirmed the political status quo. The pace of government formation and the implementation of EU-related reforms will be important determinants of the investment and growth environment in 2027.