Estonia

Investment activity revived in 2019, following last year’s slowdown. Furthermore, external demand continued growing at a higher pace than expected. Household consumption, backed by a considerable rise in employment and real wages, continues to be a strong driver of economic activity. We project GDP to grow at a rate of 3.4% in 2019, followed by a slowdown to 2.7% in 2020 and further to 2.4% in 2021.

map Estonia
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201620172018201920202021
Population, 1000 persons131613171322...
GDP, real change in %2.65.74.83.32.62.4
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)225002380025500...
Gross industrial production, real change in %3.44.14.0...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average6.85.85.45.05.25.0
Average gross monthly wages, EUR114612211310...
Consumer prices, % p.a.0.83.73.42.62.32.1
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-0.5-0.8-0.6...
Public debt in % of GDP10.29.38.4...
Current account in % of GDP1.72.72.02.82.22.1
FDI inflow, EUR mn8321532996...
Gross external debt in % of GDP88.583.176.4...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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ESTONIA: Revival of investment keeps growth buoyant

Sebastian Leitner
in: Braced for Fallout from Global Slowdown
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2019, November 2019 , pp. 64-67
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Monthly Report No. 6/2019

Vasily Astrov, Rumen Dobrinsky, Richard Grieveson, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Gabor Hunya, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter, Hermine Vidovic and Goran Vuksic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 6, June 2019
27 pages including 24 Tables and 1 Figure

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