Estonia

Investment activity has abated so far in 2018, following last year’s peak growth induced by fresh inflows of EU funds. However, external demand continued growing at a higher pace than expected. Household consumption, backed by a considerable rise in employment and real wages, continues to be a strong driver of economic activity. We project GDP to grow at a rate of 3.5% in 2018 and 3.1% in 2019, while declining somewhat to 2.7% in 2020.

map Estonia
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201520162017201820192020
Population, 1000 persons131513161315...
GDP, real change in %1.93.54.93.53.12.7
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)220002250023700...
Gross industrial production, real change in %0.33.47.7...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average6.26.85.85.55.04.5
Average gross monthly wages, EUR106511461226...
Consumer prices, % p.a.0.10.83.73.32.82.7
Fiscal balance in % of GDP0.1-0.3-0.4...
Public debt in % of GDP9.99.28.7...
Current account in % of GDP1.82.03.21.00.2-0.7
FDI inflow, EUR mn-6548451403...
Gross external debt in % of GDP92.888.482.6...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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ESTONIA: Tight labour market without overheating

Sebastian Leitner
in: Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2018, November 2018 , pp. 84-87
Details and Buy

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Monthly Report No. 6/2018

Vasily Astrov, Rumen Dobrinsky, Richard Grieveson, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Peter Havlik, Gabor Hunya, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic
wiiw Monthly Report No. 6, June 2018
27 pages including 1 Table and 1 Figure

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