North Macedonia

map North Macedonia
Growth has exceeded expectations, driven by residential construction and strong exports, partly boosted by front-loading ahead of the US tariffs. Meanwhile, there has been a resurgence of inflation, which is eroding real wages. Fiscal policy has remained loose, breaking fiscal rules, with populist spending on pensions instead of on capital projects. The upcoming local elections will be the first major test of the new government’s popularity, and could determine whether it maintains its course or adjusts its policies.
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators202220232024202520262027
Population, 1000 persons183418281824...
GDP, real change in %2.82.12.83.03.03.0
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)150701582016680...
Gross industrial production, real change in %-0.20.6-3.4...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average14.413.112.411.511.010.5
Average gross monthly wages, EUR7738921008...
Consumer prices, % p.a.14.09.04.24.03.53.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-4.3-4.4-4.6-4.0-4.0-3.0
Public debt in % of GDP49.649.753.8...
Current account in % of GDP-6.10.3-2.2-3.2-3.2-3.5
FDI inflow, EUR m788593966...
Gross external debt in % of GDP81.577.979.2...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

publication_icon

Monthly Report No. 7-8/2025

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Maciej Grodzicki, Ioannis Gutzianas, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Maryna Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July-August 2025
38 pages including 5 Tables and 3 Figures

Details

publication_icon

Executive summary

Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details


top