North Macedonia

map North Macedonia
Growth has turned out to be stronger than we had expected. Real GDP increased by 3.8% in Q3 2025, and we now estimate full-year growth at 3.4%. This is still not enough to close the gap on EU living standards, but it is clearly above our earlier forecast of 3% for 2025. As a result, we are revising our growth projections for 2026-2028 upwards, to around 3.3%.
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators202320242025202620272028
Population, 1000 persons18281824....
GDP, real change in %2.63.03.43.43.33.2
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)1583016930....
Gross industrial production, real change in %0.6-3.41.6...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average13.112.411.511.010.510.0
Average gross monthly wages, EUR8921008....
Consumer prices, % p.a.9.04.24.33.83.53.2
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-4.3-4.5-4.0-4.0-3.0-3.0
Public debt in % of GDP49.452.955.0...
Current account in % of GDP0.3-2.2-3.5-3.4-3.3-3.2
FDI inflow, EUR m593966....
Gross external debt in % of GDP77.477.979.0...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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Monthly Report No. 1/2026

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Maciej Grodzicki, Ioannis Gutzianas, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Marina Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 1, January 2026
58 pages including 6 Tables and 15 Figures

Details

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Executive summary

Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details


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