North Macedonia

map North Macedonia
The economy slowed visibly in Q1 2026, in line with our expectations. Year-on-year growth was 3.1%, but that relatively solid reading is misleading, as seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter growth was just 0.3%, consistent with annualised growth of only 1.2%. Consumption has been the only sound component, while both investment and exports have slowed markedly. Given the uptick in inflation and its impact on real incomes, consumption is also likely to lose momentum in the coming period. The only positive signal is that industrial production recorded robust growth of 7.6% year on year in April, but this may well be short lived, as in Q1 it was negative.
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators202320242025202620272028
Population, 1000 persons182818241814...
GDP, real change in %2.63.03.52.92.93.0
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)158301693017900...
Gross industrial production, real change in %0.6-3.41.6...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average13.112.411.511.010.510.0
Average gross monthly wages, EUR89210081103...
Consumer prices, % p.a.9.04.24.35.04.54.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-4.3-4.5-4.1-5.0-4.0-4.0
Public debt in % of GDP49.452.951.6...
Current account in % of GDP0.3-2.2-4.4-5.5-5.3-4.4
FDI inflow, EUR m593966618...
Gross external debt in % of GDP77.477.972.0...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

publication_icon

Monthly Report No. 7-8/2026

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Ioannis Gutzianas, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Isilda Mara, Michał Możdżeń, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Marina Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July-August 2026
52 pages including 5 Tables

Details

publication_icon

Executive summary

Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details


top