Ukraine
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 36700 | 37000 | 37000 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 11020 | 11380 | 11900 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | 6.8 | 4.7 | -1.7 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 20.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 441 | 494 | 551 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | 12.9 | 6.5 | 12.7 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | -20.1 | -17.6 | -18.6 | -18.0 | -15.0 | -14.0 |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 83.3 | 91.1 | 101.2 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | -5.8 | -8.3 | -13.5 | -16.8 | -19.5 | -20.3 |
| FDI inflow, EUR m | 4136 | 3674 | 1438 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 86.8 | 98.1 | 106.0 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
Monthly Report No. 7-8/2026
Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Ioannis Gutzianas, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Isilda Mara, Michał Możdżeń, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Marina Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July-August 2026
52 pages including 5 Tables
Executive summary
Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details