Latvia

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Growth in Latvia is being led primarily by capital spending and public demand. The economy expanded by 2.5% in Q1 2026, driven mainly by strong investment and higher government consumption. Public investment is expected to remain elevated, supported by EU funds and increased defence spending, while improving financing conditions should gradually help to revive private-sector investment.
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators202320242025202620272028
Population, 1000 persons188718701850...
GDP, real change in %-0.90.02.11.81.92.4
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)267602754029520...
Gross industrial production, real change in %-6.4-2.23.6...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average6.56.96.97.06.96.4
Average gross monthly wages, EUR153716851815...
Consumer prices, % p.a.9.11.33.83.43.12.8
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-2.3-1.8-2.5-3.3-3.0-2.5
Public debt in % of GDP44.446.246.9...
Current account in % of GDP-3.8-1.5-3.4-3.8-3.6-3.6
FDI inflow, EUR m15251401139...
Gross external debt in % of GDP101.397.799.5...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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Monthly Report No. 7-8/2026

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Ioannis Gutzianas, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Isilda Mara, Michał Możdżeń, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Marina Tverdostup
wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July-August 2026
52 pages including 5 Tables

Details

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Executive summary

Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
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