Bosnia and Herzegovina
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 3491 | 3475 | 3445 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 2.8 | -3.1 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 10110 | 9840 | 10890 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | -5.3 | -6.4 | 9.8 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 15.7 | 15.9 | 17.4 | 16.8 | 16.3 | 15.7 |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 727 | 755 | 788 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | 0.6 | -1.1 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | 1.9 | -5.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 32.8 | 36.6 | 35.5 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | -2.8 | -3.8 | -2.1 | -3.7 | -3.9 | -4.1 |
| FDI inflow, EUR m | 388 | 364 | 445 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 63.1 | 64.3 | 60.1 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
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BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: Local political tensions leave the country in limbo
Selena Duraković
in: Overshadowed by War and Sanctions
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2022, April 2022 , pp. 45-48
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Monthly Report No. 1/2022
Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Rumen Dobrinsky, Selena Duraković, Richard Grieveson, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Marcus How, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanović, Niko Korpar, Sebastian Leitner, Isilda Mara, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Bernd Christoph Ströhm, Maryna Tverdostup, Nina Vujanović, Zuzana Zavarská and Adam Żurawski
wiiw Monthly Report No. 1, January 2022
58 pages including 4 Tables and 21 Figures
The economy grew more strongly than expected in 2021, due to a significant rise in industrial production, private consumption and exports. However, growth in 2022 is expected to be much weaker, given the threats of high inflation brought about by the war in Ukraine and the rise in local political tensions. The entity governments have failed to reach agreement on decisions that are important to the country’s progress, and this is undermining its prospects for European integration, while also rendering it less attractive to both foreign investors and its own citizens, who are leaving the country in droves.