Romania
| FORECAST* | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Economic Indicators | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| Population, 1000 persons | 19061 | 19055 | 19000 | . | . | . |
| GDP, real change in % | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| GDP per capita (EUR at PPP) | 28710 | 30770 | 32540 | . | . | . |
| Gross industrial production, real change in % | -3.0 | -1.5 | -0.9 | . | . | . |
| Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average | 5.6 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| Average gross monthly wages, EUR | 1424 | 1620 | 1745 | . | . | . |
| Consumer prices, % p.a. | 9.7 | 5.8 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Fiscal balance in % of GDP | -6.6 | -9.3 | -7.9 | -6.5 | -5.8 | -5.2 |
| Public debt in % of GDP | 49.3 | 54.8 | 59.3 | . | . | . |
| Current account in % of GDP | -6.7 | -8.2 | -7.9 | -7.6 | -7.3 | -6.8 |
| FDI inflow, EUR m | 8074 | 6586 | 8377 | . | . | . |
| Gross external debt in % of GDP | 56.9 | 57.5 | 60.1 | . | . | . |
Basic data are continuously updated.
* Forecasts are changed beginning of January, April, July and November.
See Press Conferences.
publication_icon
Monthly Report No. 06/2026
Javier Flórez Mendoza, Gentian Gashi, Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Gabor Hunya, Juliane Unger and David Zenz
wiiw Monthly Report No. 06, June 2026
39 pages including 14 Figures
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Executive summary
Olga Pindyuk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. I-VII
Details
Romania’s economy remained weak in 2025, with GDP growth of just 0.7%, as fiscal tightening and high inflation curbed consumption, leaving investment as the main driver. Conditions worsened in early 2026 amid falling industrial output, declining confidence and rising unemployment. Inflation remains elevated, despite stable exchange rates. Fiscal consolidation continues to weigh on demand, while external imbalances are slowly improving. A modest recovery is expected in late 2026, but risks from energy prices, weak competitiveness and political fragility persist.