wiiw Forecast Reports
MOLDOVA: Prospects improving amidst considerable political risk
in: The Crisis is Over, but its Scarring Effects are Hindering Recovery
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2024, April 2024 , pp. 93-96
Economic growth will pick up to 3.5% in 2024, following a very modest showing of 0.7% last year. Inflation will stabilise at a low level, allowing for monetary policy to be loosened. The current account and fiscal deficits will remain relatively high, but multinational institutions will provide a stable source of financing. The Europe-oriented leadership will be challenged in October in a presidential election and a referendum on EU membership. Russia’s subversive activities and domestic oligarchic interests support a strong opposition.
Reference to wiiw databases: wiiw Annual Database, wiiw Monthly Database
Countries covered: Moldova