wiiw Forecast Reports

UKRAINE: From illiquidity to insolvency


Vasily Astrov

in: A Time of Moderate Expectations
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2015, March 2015 , pp. 123-126

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In 2015, the ongoing military conflict in the Donbas region, the erosion of incomes on account of galloping inflation and the unrelenting collapse of trade and investment will plunge the economy into deep recession for the second year running. Dismal growth prospects, an ever-weakening currency and massive fiscal deficits on the back of huge expenditures on defence will put the sustainability of public debt in jeopardy. A recovery can hardly be expected before 2017, the all-essential pre-requirement being a lasting peace settlement.


Reference to wiiw databases: wiiw Annual Database, wiiw Monthly Database

Countries covered: Ukraine