wiiw Forecast Reports

UKRAINE: Investment-led recovery under way


Vasily Astrov

in: Cautious Upturn in CESEE: Haunted by the Spectre of Uncertainty
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2017, March 2017 , pp. 129-133

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Economic recovery has progressively gained momentum, but it is entirely driven by domestic demand and is accompanied by widening external imbalances. GDP growth is projected to pick up further to 2.5% in 2017 on account of export stabilisation, and to accelerate to 3% in 2018–2019. However, this scenario crucially hinges on the preservation of the semi-frozen state of the conflict in Donbas and the continuation of the International Monetary Fund programme.


Reference to wiiw databases: wiiw Annual Database, wiiw Monthly Database

Countries covered: Ukraine