wiiw Forecast Reports

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: Elevated political risk unlikely to derail growth


Richard Grieveson

in: Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2018, November 2018 , pp. 68-71

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Political risk is unusually high following the recent election, and in particular the potential for a constitutional crisis in the Federation. This will have an impact on reforms and policy-making, but shouldn’t impact growth too much. We think that growth will remain in the range of 3-3.5% during the forecast period, with external factors such as remittances, exports and tourism likely to remain important. Inflation will stay low, while the labour market will improve slowly.


Reference to wiiw databases: wiiw Annual Database, wiiw Monthly Database

Countries covered: Bosnia and Herzegovina