Richard Grieveson

Economist

e-Mail: grieveson@wiiw.ac.at
telephone: (+43-1) 533 66 10-56

Richard Grieveson is Economist at wiiw and coordinator of the wiiw country analysis team. His main area of research is CESEE country analysis and economic forecasting, with a particular focus on Turkey and the Western Balkans. In addition he works on migration, sovereign risk, economic history and European integration. He holds a Graduate Diploma in Economics from the University of London, Birkbeck, a Master in Advanced International Studies from the University of Vienna and a BA in History from the University of Cambridge. Previously he worked as a Director in the Emerging Europe Sovereigns team at Fitch Ratings, with a focus on the CIS and Balkans. Before that, he was Regional Manager and lead analyst for Germany and Poland in the Europe team at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

Austria, Vienna

External Publications

Articles in refereed journals
  • 'Demographic decline does not necessarily condemn CESEE EU countries to a low growth future', Focus on European economic integration (OeNB), No. Q3, 2018, pp. 122-130
Books (Monographs and editorship)
  • CEFTA Investment Report 2017 (with Mahdi Ghodsi, Vladimir Gligorov, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya and Roman Stöllinger), CEFTA Secretariat, Brussels, 2017
Shorter papers and comments
  • 'CEE should be worried about the next EU budget', bne IntelliNews, May 17th, 2018
  • 'Guest-workers won’t solve CEE labour shortage woes', bne IntelliNews, March 29th, 2018
  • 'CEE Convergence Success Is Not All That it Seems', Emerging Europe, March 6th, 2018
  • 'Europa am Scheidepunkt: Österreichs wichtige Rolle' (with Philipp Heimberger), Der Standard, November 30th, 2017
  • 'EU-CEE Is Still Growing at a Healthy Rate', Emerging Europe, August 16th, 2017
  • 'Impact of BREXIT on EU-CEE not overstated', Emerging Europe, June 26th, 2017

wiiw Publications

wiiw Forecast Reports
  • 'Global and eurozone outlook: Heading into increasingly stormy weather', Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2018, Vienna, November 2018, pp. 1-7
  • 'Business cycle monitor: Overheating concern abate' (with Alexandra Bykova), Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2018, Vienna, November 2018, pp. 45-47
  • 'BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: Elevated political risk unlikely to derail growth', Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2018, Vienna, November 2018, pp. 68-71
  • 'SERBIA: On the crest of a wave', Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2018, Vienna, November 2018, pp. 126-129
  • 'TURKEY: Accepting reality and hoping for the best', Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2018, Vienna, November 2018, pp. 138-141
  • 'BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: Positive external conditions driving growth', Riding the Global Growth Wave, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Spring 2018, Vienna, March 2018, pp. 77-80
  • 'KOSOVO: Growth at healthy levels, helped by boom in Western Europe', Riding the Global Growth Wave, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Spring 2018, Vienna, March 2018, pp. 106-109
  • 'TURKEY: Growth will remain strong but external risks are significant', Riding the Global Growth Wave, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Spring 2018, Vienna, March 2018, pp. 150-153
  • 'BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: Political stalemate could cause further delays in investment', CESEE Back on Track to Convergence, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2017, Vienna, November 2017, pp. 54-57
  • 'KOSOVO: New government facing challenges, but growth will remain strong', CESEE Back on Track to Convergence, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2017, Vienna, November 2017, pp. 82-85
  • 'TURKEY: Economy shrugging off political noise with help of external demand', CESEE Back on Track to Convergence, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2017, Vienna, November 2017, pp. 123-127
  • 'Special section III: Are CESEE sovereigns prepared for higher borrowing rates? ', CESEE Back on Track to Convergence, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2017, Vienna, November 2017, pp. 32-44
  • 'Special section I: Global and EU political risks driving up uncertainty in EU-CEE', Cautious Upturn in CESEE: Haunted by the Spectre of Uncertainty, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Spring 2017, Vienna, March 2017, pp. 19-28
  • 'BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: Growth momentum robust amid political risks', Cautious Upturn in CESEE: Haunted by the Spectre of Uncertainty, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Spring 2017, Vienna, March 2017, pp. 51-54
  • 'TURKEY: Political risk will continue to weigh on growth', Cautious Upturn in CESEE: Haunted by the Spectre of Uncertainty, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Spring 2017, Vienna, March 2017, pp. 123-128
  • 'KOSOVO: Remittances to continue driving growth', Cautious Upturn in CESEE: Haunted by the Spectre of Uncertainty, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Spring 2017, Vienna, March 2017, pp. 81-85
wiiw Monthly Reports
  • 'Can economic factors explain why Central Europe became so good at football in the 1930s?', Monthly Report No. 11/2018, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2018, pp. 18-25
  • 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: Risks high ahead of election', Monthly Report No. 6/2018, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 6, Vienna, June 2018, p. 5
  • 'Serbia: Cautiously optimistic', Monthly Report No. 6/2018, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 6, Vienna, June 2018, p. 20
  • 'Turkey: Sailing close to the wind', Monthly Report No. 6/2018, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 6, Vienna, June 2018, p. 23
  • 'Immigration and Brexit', Monthly Report No. 2/2018, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 2, Vienna, February 2018, pp. 16-21
  • 'Opinion corner: What can be said about the status of Brexit in September 2017?', Monthly Report No. 9/2017, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 9, Vienna, September 2017, p. 2-5
  • 'Bosnia and Herzegovina: Broad-based pick-up in growth', Monthly Report No. 7-8/2017, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7-8, Vienna, August 2017, p. 5
  • 'Kosovo: Election outcome unlikely to derail strong growth', Monthly Report No. 7-8/2017, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7-8, Vienna, August 2017, p. 12
  • 'Turkey: Growth robust amid major risks', Monthly Report No. 7-8/2017, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7-8, Vienna, August 2017, p. 23
  • 'Opinion corner: What does the Turkish referendum result mean for the economy?', Monthly Report No. 4/2017, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 4, Vienna, April 2017, pp. 2-5
  • 'History as a determinant of economic development: The Habsburg example', Monthly Report No. 11/2016, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2016, pp. 20-26
wiiw Research Reports
  • 'The Iranian Economy: Challenges and Opportunities' (with Vasily Astrov, Mahdi Ghodsi and Robert Stehrer), wiiw Research Report, No. 429, Vienna, July 2018
wiiw Policy Notes and Reports
  • 'Investment in the Western Balkans' (with Mario Holzner), wiiw Policy Note/Policy Report, No. 27, Vienna, November 2018
  • 'Western Balkans EU Accession: Is the 2025 Target Date Realistic?' (with Julia Grübler and Mario Holzner), wiiw Policy Note/Policy Report, No. 22, Vienna, May 2018
wiiw Opinion Pieces
  • 'Brexit: the saga continues', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, December 2018
  • 'The growing internationalisation of Austrian exports' (with Mario Holzner), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2018
  • 'A bad end to a tumultuous year for Serbia-Kosovo relations', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2018
  • 'New wiiw forecast for CESEE: Strong growth amid increased negative risks', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2018
  • 'Brexit: scenarios for the next stage of negotiations' (with Michael Landesmann), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, September 2018
  • 'Does Croatia’s World Cup success show that CESEE is back as a footballing power?', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, August 2018
  • 'Are we heading for a bigger emerging markets crisis?', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, August 2018
  • 'Turkey: Big policy change needed', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, August 2018
  • 'Turkey election: Erdoğan wins, but economy headed for stormy weather', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, June 2018
  • 'What would Keynes propose for the euro?', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, June 2018
  • 'wiiw again recognised among leading economic forecasters on CESEE region', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2018
  • 'Sailing close to the wind', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2018
  • 'wiiw publishes new study on Western Balkan EU accession prospects' (with Julia Grübler and Mario Holzner), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2018
  • 'Five big questions for the future of the EU budget' (with Philipp Heimberger, Mario Holzner, Armon Rezai, Sandor Richter, Roman Römisch and Robert Stehrer), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2018
  • 'Early election called in Turkey', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2018
  • 'CESEE outlook: strong growth amid rising risks' (with Julia Grübler, Mario Holzner and Roman Stöllinger), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2018
  • 'Russian economy going nowhere until relations with West and Ukraine improve' (with Peter Havlik), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, March 2018
  • 'New wiiw forecast for CESEE: Riding the global growth wave', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, March 2018
  • 'New US tariffs: Escalation to trade war would hit Europe hard' (with Mahdi Ghodsi, Julia Grübler, Mario Holzner, Olga Pindyuk, Robert Stehrer and Roman Stöllinger), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, March 2018
  • 'Ten themes for CESEE in 2018', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, January 2018
  • 'The EU at a crossroads' (with Philipp Heimberger), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, December 2017
  • 'Boom times in Turkey', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, December 2017
  • 'Who is swimming naked in CESEE?', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2017
  • 'Q3 GDP data show EU-CEE still booming', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2017
  • 'Czech election: Big changes in parliament, minimal economic impact' (with Peter Havlik and Leon Podkaminer), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, October 2017
  • 'Ten reflections on the UK in the aftermath of Brexit', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, October 2017
  • 'Can Brexit be stopped?', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, August 2017
  • 'Q2 GDP data show that EU-CEE is still growing at a healthy rate', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, August 2017
  • 'Five things for EU-CEE to watch in Brexit negotiations', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, June 2017
  • 'Difficult negotiations ahead in Kosovo' (with Pëllumb Collaku and Vladimir Gligorov), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, June 2017
  • 'Election outcome creates obstacles to 'hard' Brexit', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, June 2017
  • 'EU-CEE economies started 2017 with a bang', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2017
  • 'UK running risk of chaotic Brexit', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2017
  • 'Theresa May calls snap UK parliamentary election', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2017
  • 'Turkish economy will remain under pressure after referendum', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2017
  • 'Experts argue a fundamental reappraisal of current EU course is needed' (with Julia Grübler), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2017
  • 'Brexit: Small economic impact, but huge political risks ahead' (with Robert Stehrer), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, March 2017
  • 'Growth strengthens and inflation returns, but political risk warning lights are flashing red', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, January 2017
  • 'What a Trump victory means for CESEE' (with Julia Grübler), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2016

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