wiiw Forecast Reports

Global and eurozone outlook: Heading into increasingly stormy weather


Richard Grieveson

in: Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks
wiiw Forecast Report No. Autumn 2018, November 2018 , pp. 1-7

The current report is only available to members and paying customers. Past issues become freely available online when the next report is released. Several individual sections of the report are freely available to download now (see below).

Despite a slightly less optimistic outlook than in the Spring, the global economy remains buoyant, powered above all by strong activity in the US. Global growth should remain fairly robust by post-crisis standards throughout the forecast period. However, the risks to the outlook have continued to rise, and are tilted heavily towards the downside. Tighter US policy, a possible Chinese slowdown, and uncertainty around Italy and the eurozone are the main things to watch.


Reference to wiiw databases: wiiw Annual Database, wiiw Monthly Database