Monthly Report No. 7-8/2014


Vasily Astrov, Rumen Dobrinsky, Vladimir Gligorov, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Peter Havlik, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya, Michael Landesmann, Sebastian Leitner, Leon Podkaminer, Sandor Richter and Hermine Vidovic

wiiw Monthly Report No. 7-8, July 2014
23 pages including 1 Table and 2 Figures

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  • Table: Overview 2013 and outlook 2014-2016 (p. 1)
  • Figure: 2013 estimate and 2014 forecast for CESEE growth drivers (p. 2)
  • Bulgaria: upcoming early elections take centre stage (by Rumen Dobrinsky; p. 3)
  • Croatia: recession continues (by Hermine Vidovic; p. 4)
  • Czech Republic: fiscal relaxation to strengthen the recovery (by Leon Podkaminer; p. 5)
  • Estonia: ongoing stagnation (by Sebastian Leitner; p. 6)
  • Hungary: EU funds support accelerating growth (by Sándor Richter; p. 7)
  • Latvia: consumers keep the wheel turning (by Sebastian Leitner; p. 8)
  • Lithuania: investing in growth (by Sebastian Leitner; p. 9)
  • Poland: abrupt acceleration of investment activities (by Leon Podkaminer; p. 10)
  • Romania: consumption-driven growth (by Gábor Hunya; p. 11)
  • Slovakia: domestic demand on the rise (by Doris Hanzl-Weiss; p. 12)
  • Slovenia: first signs of recovery (by Hermine Vidovic; p. 13)
  • Albania: candidate, at last (by Mario Holzner; p. 14)
  • Macedonia: monuments and elections (by Vladimir Gligorov; p. 15)
  • Montenegro: tourism and elections (by Vladimir Gligorov; p. 16)
  • Serbia: floods and reforms (by Vladimir Gligorov; p. 17)
  • Turkey: economic adjustment in progress, political tussle continues (by Michael Landesmann; p. 18)
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina: floods and elections (by Vladimir Gligorov; p. 19)
  • Kosovo: unstable government in a stable economy? (by Mario Holzner; p. 20)
  • Russian Federation: stuck in stagnation (by Peter Havlik; p. 21)
  • Ukraine: in search of stability (by Vasily Astrov; pp. 22-23)


Reference to wiiw databases: wiiw Annual Database, wiiw Monthly Database

Keywords: economic forecasts, GDP, investment, consumer prices, unemployment, current account, household consumption, net exports, GDP growth

Countries covered: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Kosovo, Latvia, Lithuania, North Macedonia, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Russian Federation, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine

Research Areas: Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy