Risikoanalyse zur wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung der Türkei

Client/Funding Institution

Österreichische Post AG/Austrian Post Office


The project aimed to assess current economic conditions and business risks in Turkey, and to make projections for how these could develop in the next ten years under three scenarios (baseline, negative, positive). In particular, indicators were assessed which are relevant for the valuation of a business and for due diligence. These included trends in domestic consumption, inflation, the labour market, the institutional framework and political risk factors. A risk matrix was also included, identifying key business risks over the next ten years, and ranking them based on likelihood and impact. The study is written in German.


June 2018 - September 2018

wiiw team Leader

Richard Grieveson

wiiw Staff

Alexandra Bykova, Richard Grieveson, Nadya Heger, Magdalena Höllhuber, Mario Holzner

Keywords: Risk assessement, Turkey, domestic consumption, labor markt development

Countries covered: Turkey

Research Areas: Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy