Spring 2017 Forecast Webinar

06  April 2017    4:00 pm

Current challenges as well as growth opportunities for 22 countries in Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE)

Venue

This is a virtual event - to enter the webinar see link below

Description

Should you have missed our Spring Seminar last week this is another opportunity to explore the current challenges as well as growth opportunities for 22 countries in Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE):

Cautious upturn in CESEE: haunted by the spectre of uncertainty
New wiiw forecast for Central, East and Southeast Europe

The following issues will be addressed in the webinar:

  • What do international political and economic developments—including Brexit and Donald Trump—mean for the CESEE economies?
  • What is driving the current strong growth in much of the region, and how sustainable is it?
  • Is regional competitiveness likely to be affected by tightening labour markets and rising wages?

wiiw’s Spring 2017 forecast summary:

  • Growth in the CESEE economies will strengthen gradually, surpassing on average 3% by 2019.
  • This growth will be driven by consumption and increasing investment, amid a largely supportive international economic environment.
  • Despite a rise in ULCs, competitiveness will not be endangered.
  • Although the size of labour forces in CESEE is stagnating, data indicate an improvement in educational levels of workers.
  • Meanwhile the tightness of labour markets will propel wage growth.
  • The CESEE region as a whole is back on a convergence track, with an average positive growth differential of 1.2 pp vis-à-vis the euro area over the forecast horizon.
  • Downside risks are significant, mostly stemming from political factors.
  • The CESEE countries and Europe more broadly, together with the rest of the world, will be haunted by the spectre of political uncertainty; it is only to be hoped that, once fully roused, the ‘animal spirits’ of economic agents will shrug off the gloom.

The webinar will be hosted by:

  • Mario Holzner, Deputy Director and Economist at wiiw. His research focuses on the macroeconomic analysis of the CESEE region.
  • Richard Grieveson, Economist at wiiw. His main area of research is CESEE country analysis and economic forecasting, with a particular focus on Turkey, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo.

To enter the webinar just follow this link on your computer at the announced time and enter your e-mail-address and a display name:
https://go.myownconference.com/SR1314768f1

Alternatively, you can upload the 'Myownconference' app to your smartphone and enter the webinar from there using the above link.

 


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