WIIW The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies - Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche

Julia Grübler

• Curriculum Vitae
• List of Publications
• List of Projects

Economist

email: gruebler@wiiw.ac.at
telephone: (+43-1) 533 66 10-86

Julia Grübler is Economist at wiiw and external lecturer at the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU). Her research focuses on international (trade) relations with special emphasis on the policies of the European Union and its Member States.

Austria, Vienna

External Publications

• 'Import demand elasticities revisited' (with Mahdi Ghodsi and Robert Stehrer), The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Volume 31, Issue 1, 2022, pp. 46-74
• 'Characterising non-tariff trade policy' (with Oliver Reiter), Economic Analysis and Policy, Vol. 71, 2021, pp. 138-163
• 'On the new gold standard in EU trade integration: reviewing the EU-Japan EPA' (with Oliver Reiter and Robert Stehrer), Empirica / Journal of European Economics, Volume 48, April 2021
• 'Non-Tariff Trade Policy in the Context of Deep Trade Integration: An Ex-Post Gravity Model Application to the EU-South Korea Agreement' (with Oliver Reiter), East Asian Economic Review, Vol. 25, No. 1, 2021, pp. 33-71

• ''Vom Picknick zur Perlenhochzeit', Faktor Osteuropa', in: Armin J. Kammel and Barbara Kolm (eds), Wirtschaftsstandort Österreich - Perspektiven und Faktoroptimierungen, Verlag Österreich, May 2021, pp. 371-390
• 'Implications of the Belt and Road Initiative for Central, East, and Southeast Europe' (with Robert Stehrer), in: Alfred Gerstl and Ute Wallenböck (eds), China’s Belt and Road Initiative, Chapter 12, Routledge, London, November, 2020
• 'Between Hopes for Economic Growth and Fears of Debt Default: On the potential Economic Effects of the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative in Europe', in: Gerd Kaminski (eds), Chinese Strategies in Politics, Foreign Policy, Security Policy, Economy and Law, Berichte des Österreichischen Instituts für China- und Südostasienforschung, No. 76, ÖGCF, Vienna, 2019, pp. 211-223
• 'Non-tariff measures for better or worse' (with Mahdi Ghodsi, Oliver Reiter and Robert Stehrer), in: Ewald Nowotny, Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald and Helene Schuberth (eds), Structural Reforms for Growth and Cohesion. Lessons and Challenges for CESEE Countries and a Modern Europe, Chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, 2018, pp. 78-101
• 'China's Outreach to South East Europe - an Alternative or Complementary Path', in: Mariana Trifonova (eds), Public Policy Challenges - European and Regional Dimensions. Summer Seminar for Young Public Policy Professionals from Souteastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, Economic Policy Institute, Sofia, 2018, pp. 137-151
• 'Non-tariff measures becoming ever more important, but also trickier to evaluate' (with Robert Stehrer), in: Ernest Gnan and Ralf Kronberger (eds), Schwerpunkt Außenwirtschaft 2017/2018: Protektionismus: Ursachen, Erscheinungsformen, ökonomische Effekte, Facultas, Wien, 2018, pp. 227-245
• 'Wirtschaftliche Potenziale für Österreich entlang der Neuen Seidenstraße' (with Robert Stehrer), in: Peter Buchas and Bernhard Müller (eds), Die Neue Seidenstraße. Vision - Strategie - Wirklichkeit, urban future edition, Wiener Neustadt, 2018, pp. 39-56

• 'EU und Mercosur – Auswirkungen eines Abbaus von Handelsschranken und Aspekte der Nachhaltigkeit ' (with Oliver Reiter), WIFO Monatsberichte, Vol. 93, No. 11, 2020
• 'Auf gute Nachbarschaft! Österreichs Wirtschaftsbeziehungen mit Osteuropa seit der Ostöffnung 1989 Kurswechsel', BEIGEWUM, No. 3, 2020
• 'The EU-Japan EPA: A Case for Non-tariff Measures' (with Oliver Reiter and Robert Stehrer), CESifo Forum, Vol. 20, No. 2, 2019, pp. 17-25
• 'Die Seidenstraße als Heilmittel mit unbekannten Nebenwirkungen', Kurswechsel, No. 4, 2018, pp. 81-86
• 'MOSOEL: Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz getrübt durch politische Divergenz', WIFO Monatsberichte, Vol. 90, No. 7, 2017, pp. 547-554

• ''Warum das WIFO künftig von einer Ökonomin geleitet werden sollte' (with Pia Heckl), Ökonomieblog - DerStandard, 24 November 2020
• 'COVID-19 is complicating global trade debates; A special issue on trade policy', Baltic Rim Economies (BRE Review), No. 2/2020, May 2020
• 'Wirtschaftliche Integration, die sich rentiert', Versicherungsrundschau, No. 6/19, June 2019, pp. 12-15
• 'Belt and Road: Kredite für Europa', OstContact. Das Außenmagazin, Vol. 64, No. 8/9, 2018, pp. 57-59
• 'China’s Outreach to CEE Could Be Win-Win', Emerging Europe, April 23rd, 2018
• 'Die Wirtschaft der Region MOSOE gewinnt weiter an Fahrt', Versicherungsrundschau, No. 10/17, Oktober 2017, pp. 5-8

• 'Greater than the sum of its parts? Does Austria profit from a widening network of EU free trade agreements?' (with Oliver Reiter), FIW Studie, FIW and BMDW, Vienna, September 2020
• 'Implications of the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement for Austria - A Preliminary Assessment' (with Oliver Reiter and Franz Sinabell), FIW Studie, FIW and BMDW, Vienna, August 2020
• 'The People’s Republic of China Connecting Europe?', Asian Development Bank Institute, ADBI Working Paper, No. 1178, Tokyo, August 2020
• 'EU-Freihandelsabkommen: Was liegt auf dem Tisch?' (with Roman Stöllinger), FIW and BMDW, FIW Policy Brief, No. 47, Vienna, September 2020
• 'Die Evolution und Bedeutung „moderner“ EU-Freihandelsabkommen' (with Roman Stöllinger), FIW Policy Brief, No. 43, Vienna, December 2018
• 'Österreich zwischen Ost und West im Kontext der österreichischen EU-Ratspräsidentschaft ', FIW Policy Brief, No. 42, Vienna, November 2018
• 'The EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement and its relevance for the Austrian Economy' (with Oliver Reiter and Robert Stehrer), FIW Studie, FIW and BMDW, No. 01, Vienna, October 2018
• 'Die Relevanz von nicht-tarifären Maßnahmen für den Außenhandel' (with Robert Stehrer), FIW Policy Brief, No. 36, Vienna, September 2017
• 'Die chinesische Investitionsoffensive "One Belt, One Road" - Wirtschaftliche Potentiale für Österreich?' (with Robert Stehrer), FIW Policy Brief, No. 33, Vienna, February 2017
• 'Aktuelle Entwicklungen im Außenhandel' (with Cornelius Hirsch), FIW Kurzbericht, Nr. 22, September 2016
• 'Aktuelle Entwicklungen im Außenhandel' (with Elisabeth Christen), FIW Kurzbericht, Nr. 21, März 2016
• 'Aktuelle Entwicklungen im Außenhandel' (with Weiß Daniela), FIW Kurzbericht, Nr. 19, März 2015
• 'Aktuelle Entwicklungen im Außenhandel' (with Yvonne Wolfmayr), FIW Kurzbericht, Nr. 16, Juni 2014

wiiw Publications

• 'Global economic outlook' (with Richard Grieveson), Uncertainty in Turbulent Times, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Spring 2020, Vienna, March 2020, pp. 1-8
• 'What does China’s Belt and Road Initiative mean for CESEE, and how should the EU respond?' (with Amat Adarov and Mario Holzner), Strong Growth Amid Increased Negative Risks, wiiw Forecast Report, No. Autumn 2018, Vienna, November 2018, pp. 50-51

• 'Time for a Paradigm Shift?', Monthly Report No. 2/2021, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 2, Vienna, February 2021, pp. 12-17
• 'Chart of the month: Waiting for the vaccine roll-out to speed up', Monthly Report No. 1/2021, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 1, Vienna, January 2021, pp. 7-8
• 'Chart of the month: The second wave of COVID-19 cases in CESEE is stronger than the first', Monthly Report No. 10/2020, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 10, Vienna, October2020, pp. 7-8
• 'Chart of the month: Concern over new COVID-19 cases and insufficient testing in CESEE', Monthly Report No. 07-08/2020, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7-8, Vienna, July - August 2020, pp. 7-8
• 'Trade policy’s about-turn in times of global health distress' (with Oliver Reiter), Monthly Report No. 06/2020, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 6, Vienna, June 2020, pp. 5-11
• 'Opinion corner: COVID-19 is complicating global trade debates', Monthly Report No. 06/2020, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 6, Vienna, June 2020, pp. 2-4
• 'Chart of the month: COVID-19 measures and mobility responses in CESEE countries', Monthly Report No. 04/2020, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 4, Vienna, April 2020, pp. 1-2
• 'Connectivity Strategies for Europe', Monthly Report No. 10/2019, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 10, Vienna, October 2019, pp. 6-11
• 'Austria’s evolving trade and transport links with CESEE', Monthly Report No. 9/2019, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 9, Vienna, September 2019, pp. 6-11
• 'How the EU has been shaping the world trade order', Monthly Report No. 1/2019, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 1, Vienna, January 2019, pp. 5-11
• 'Austria’s investment in its Eastern neighbourhood ', Monthly Report No. 9/2018, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 9, Vienna, September 2018, pp. 12-18
• 'Visit thy neighbour: Compositional trends in the Austrian tourism sector', Monthly Report No. 10/2017, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 10, Vienna, October 2017, pp. 13-17
• 'Trade effects of non-tariff measures: the ‘chlorinated chicken’ case', Monthly Report No. 4/2017, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 4, Vienna, April 2017, pp. 12-18
• 'The role of price sensitivity in evaluating the effects of trade policy instruments', Monthly Report No. 12/2016, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 12, Vienna, December 2016, pp. 9-14
• 'On sustainable development in CESEE countries', Monthly Report No. 11/2016, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2016, pp. 10-14
• 'Why should we care about non-tariff measures? ', Monthly Report No. 6/2016, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 6, Vienna, June 2016, pp. 4-8
• 'Health along the escape route', Monthly Report No. 3/2016, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 3, Vienna, March 2016, pp. 4-10
• 'Trade integration along the river Danube', Monthly Report No. 5/2015, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 5, Vienna, May 2015, pp. 10-13
• 'Agricultural imports from LDCs: a comparison across EU-27 Member States ', Monthly Report No. 10/2014, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 10, Vienna, October 2014, p. 7-12

• 'Wanted! Free Trade Agreements in the Service of Environmental and Climate Protection' (with Roman Stöllinger and Gabriele Tondl), wiiw Research Report, No. 451, Vienna, January 2021
• 'Characterising Non-tariff Trade Policy' (with Oliver Reiter), wiiw Research Report, No. 449, Vienna, August 2020
• 'The EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement and its Relevance for the Austrian Economy' (with Oliver Reiter and Robert Stehrer), wiiw Research Report, No. 434, Vienna, November 2018
• 'The Evolution of Non-Tariff Measures and their Diverse Effects on Trade' (with Mahdi Ghodsi, Oliver Reiter and Robert Stehrer), wiiw Research Report, No. 419, Vienna, May 2017

• 'Greater than the Sum of its Parts? How does Austria Profit from a Widening Network of EU Free Trade Agreements?' (with Oliver Reiter), wiiw Working Paper, No. 186, Vienna, September 2020
• 'Non-tariff Trade Policy Analysis: An Ex-post Assessment of the EU-Korea Agreement' (with Oliver Reiter), wiiw Working Paper, No. 182, Vienna, August 2020
• 'Import Demand Elasticities Revisited' (with Mahdi Ghodsi and Robert Stehrer), wiiw Working Paper, No. 132, Vienna, November 2016
• 'Estimating Importer-Specific Ad Valorem Equivalents of Non-Tariff Measures' (with Mahdi Ghodsi and Robert Stehrer), wiiw Working Paper, No. 129, Vienna, September 2016

• 'Reshaping Trade Ties with China in the Aftermath of COVID-19', wiiw Policy Note/Policy Report, No. 44, Vienna, February 2021
• 'Economic Policy Implications of the Belt and Road Initiative for CESEE and Austria' (with Alexandra Bykova, Mahdi Ghodsi, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya and Robert Stehrer), wiiw Policy Note/Policy Report, No. 23, Vienna, June 2018
• 'Western Balkans EU Accession: Is the 2025 Target Date Realistic?' (with Richard Grieveson and Mario Holzner), wiiw Policy Note/Policy Report, No. 22, Vienna, May 2018

• 'Nachbarschaftsbeziehungen auf dem COVID-Prüfstand' (with Alexandra Bykova), wiiw Research Report in German language, No. 17, Vienna, September 2020
• 'Osteuropa trotzt dem globalen Gegenwind' (with Vasily Astrov), wiiw Research Report in German language, No. 14, Vienna, July 2019
• 'MOSOE: Konjunkturzenit überschritten' (with Vasily Astrov), wiiw Research Report in German language, No. 10, Vienna, June 2018
• 'Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz trotz politischer Unsicherheit', wiiw Research Report in German language, No. 7, Vienna, June 2017

• 'Are EU trade agreements in line with the European Green Deal?', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, February 2021
• 'Österreich & Osteuropa: Coronakrise stellt enge Wirtschaftsbeziehungen vor die größte Zerreißprobe seit den 1990er-Jahren.' (with Richard Grieveson and Veronika Janyrova), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, September 2020
• 'Measuring China’s rise', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, October 2019
• 'Von der provisorischen zur tatsächlichen Ostöffnung', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, August 2019
• 'On a 20-year journey towards a global gold-standard in trade', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2019
• 'Eastern Europe standing firm in face of global headwinds' (with Vasily Astrov), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2019
• 'Neue wiiw Sommerprognose: Osteuropa trotzt dem globalen Gegenwind', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2019
• 'Fixing the crumbling framework of international trade' (with Ralph Janik), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, October 2018
• 'Aufgeschoben ist nicht aufgehoben', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2018
• 'Freihandelsabkommen im Schatten des drohenden Handelskrieges', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2018
• 'Von Zolleskalation zum Nulltarif', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2018
• '„Dollar für Dollar“: Konsequenzen einer „America Alone“-Politik', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2018
• 'CESEE: Growth has passed its peak' (with Vasily Astrov), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, June 2018
• 'wiiw publishes new study on Western Balkan EU accession prospects' (with Richard Grieveson and Mario Holzner), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2018
• 'CESEE outlook: strong growth amid rising risks' (with Richard Grieveson, Mario Holzner and Roman Stöllinger), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2018
• 'Mit eiserner Faust gegen NAFTA?', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, March 2018
• 'In Zahlen: von Stahl zu Fahrzeugen', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, March 2018
• 'New US tariffs: Escalation to trade war would hit Europe hard' (with Mahdi Ghodsi, Richard Grieveson, Mario Holzner, Olga Pindyuk, Robert Stehrer and Roman Stöllinger), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, March 2018
• 'The EU’s peripheral role in China’s global vision' (with Robert Stehrer), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, December 2017
• 'How do non-tariff measures matter for Austrian trade?', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, September 2017
• 'Increasing importance of CESEE in Austrian tourism', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, August 2017
• 'EU focus on trade deals shifts East', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, August 2017
• 'Open access to data on non-tariff measures', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2017
• 'Wirtschaftliche Konvergenz trotz politischer Unsicherheit', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2017
• 'Economic convergence despite political uncertainty', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, June 2017
• 'Western Balkan Countries to profit from Belt and Road Initiative', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2017
• 'Escaping the Escape', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2017
• 'wiiw proudly presents the best science slammer in town!', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2017
• 'Experts argue a fundamental reappraisal of current EU course is needed' (with Richard Grieveson), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2017
• 'Silk Belts and Roads in the 21st century' (with Robert Stehrer), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, February 2017
• 'Greening the economy and its welfare implications', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, February 2017
• 'Inequality and Trust', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2016
• 'CETA is still alive...', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2016
• 'What a Trump victory means for CESEE' (with Richard Grieveson), wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2016
• 'Trade: A Matter of Standards', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, October 2016
• 'High-Level Panel Discussion on Brexit', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, July 2016
• 'wiiw diversity profile', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, May 2016
• 'Along the Silk Road', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2016
• 'European Integration Challenged', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2016
• 'Power, Inequality and Economic Policy', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, April 2016
• 'Understanding the Juncker Plan', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, December 2015
• 'Globalisation and the art of designing policy', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, November 2015
• 'The Political Economy of Trade Policy', wiiw Opinion Piece, Vienna, September 2015