News & Opinions
Trump’s trade conflicts will see no winners – and maybe even one unintended loser - 12 Mar 2025
Donald Trump is aggressively pursuing his “America First” policy by announcing various tariff increases – which are often later withdrawn or postponed, leading to significant uncertainty. On 12 March, tariffs on aluminium and steel derivative products enter into force. In any scenario, the greatest burden will be borne by the US itself read more
Forty years ago, Gorbachev took over – Why did socialism collapse? - 11 Mar 2025
On 11 March 1985, Mikhail Gorbachev was elected General Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union. He set in motion political and economic reforms that would change the world. What have been the economic reasons for the demise of communism? read more
2024 war ein herausforderndes Jahr für die österreichische Außenwirtschaft - 28 Feb 2025
Die österreichischen Güterexporte dürften 2024 um 2,9% und die Importe um 4,9% gesunken sein. FIW prognostiziert für 2025 ein Exportwachstum von 1,4% und für 2026 von 2,3% read more
Three years of full-scale war in Ukraine: What would a dictated peace mean? - 24 Feb 2025
It would crush Ukraine’s sovereignty and economic future, undermine Central and Eastern Europe’s FDI-driven growth, and end Europe’s peace dividend for good. Russia, meanwhile, could see economic gains in the medium term and become less dependent on China read more
Winter Forecast: Eastern Europe to grow faster in 2025 despite Trump - 04 Feb 2025
Private consumption is driving growth, while export-oriented industry is struggling; Donald Trump unchained is the major downside risk; Ukraine’s economic prospects are uncertain; growth in Russia will halve to 1.8% in 2025 read more
Regionaler Aufschwung – insbesondere in Polen – sorgt 2025 für Wachstumsimpulse in Österreich - 04 Feb 2025
Das an Fahrt gewinnende Wachstum in Polen, Tschechien, Ungarn und Slowenien dürfte 2025 die schwache Konjunktur Österreichs stützen. Besonders stark wächst Polen read more
The ‘Tariff Man’ Strikes Again: The Second Round of Trump Tariffs in Historical Perspective and Their Potential Global Impact - 03 Feb 2025
Trump’s new tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada and China will likely cause significant short-term reductions in trade. While the US may face inflation, Canada and Mexico will experience output declines read more
New project: Monitoring and supporting the Western Balkans’ EU convergence - 23 Jan 2025
Official launch of an exciting new project to facilitate the EU convergence of Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, North Macedonia, Montenegro, Kosovo and Serbia, funded by the Open Society Foundation – Western Balkans read more
How much of a risk is Trump 2.0 to the economies of Central, East and Southeast Europe? - 21 Jan 2025
The region will feel the impact of Trump through trade, potentially reduced investment and the dollar. However, the main obstacle to stronger growth remains the crisis in Germany read more
wiiw is hiring an Economist specialised in macroeconomics or fiscal policy - 20 Jan 2025
The candidate is supposed to conduct applied empirical research in the context of a new project on the distributional and employment effects of fiscal policy read more